TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$131,483,547

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,200,781,395

338,101

Markets across

34,156

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,657

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Total volume:
$183,587
Volume 24h:
$3,784
70%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$126,947
3%

Outer Banks: Season 5

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Outer Banks: Season 5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,799
N/A
N/A
$23,337
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

Outer Banks: Season 5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
kalshi

Tires: Season 3

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88,599
N/A
N/A
$46,163
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Tires: Season 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$791
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,293
N/A
N/A
$29,097
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$343
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,305
N/A
N/A
$15,161
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Let's Marry Harry: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,476
N/A
N/A
$2,476
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Blood Sacrifice: Season 1

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,045
N/A
N/A
$2,045
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Ms. Rachel: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,881
N/A
N/A
$1,881
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Best Medicine: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,661
N/A
N/A
$1,661
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

The Audacity: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,379
N/A
N/A
$1,372
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Raw: 2026 - August 10, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,366
N/A
N/A
$1,366
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,362
N/A
N/A
$1,362
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Ms. Rachel: Season 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$532
N/A
N/A
$532
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Danny Go!: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$494
N/A
N/A
$494
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Love Is Blind: UK: Season 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

My Brilliant Career: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$289
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Show A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Show B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Show C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 23

Description

This event group tracks predictions about which television show will rank #1 on the US Netflix Top 10 list for the week ending August 25, 2026. Multiple platforms host markets for various shows, with resolution dependent on Netflix's official ranking.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms resolve based on the same official Netflix ranking source and use identical ranking criteria (#1 position for the specified week)Primary resolution logic: Netflix Top 10 list at top10.netflix.com published on August 25, 2026

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified show is ranked #1 on Netflix's US Top 10 TV Shows list for the week ending August 25, 2026
  • If multiple shows tie for #1, Polymarket resolves to the show whose title comes first alphabetically
  • If no listed show achieves #1, markets resolve to 'No' (Kalshi) or 'Other' (Polymarket)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Alphabetical Tiebreaker: Only applies to Polymarket markets - if two shows tie for #1, the one with the earliest alphabetical title wins
  • Missing Update: Polymarket markets resolve to 'Other' if Netflix fails to publish the ranking by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Timing: Resolution occurs after Netflix publishes the Top 10 list on August 25, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Kalshi

The event determines the top-ranked US Netflix show for the week ending the Sunday before August 25, 2026, based on the chart published on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific show, and resolution hinges on whether that show occupies the #1 position on the specified chart. All markets share identical secondary rules: Netflix charts update on Tuesdays, so trading will close at 11:59 PM ET the preceding Monday. Importantly, neither Netflix nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any referenced trademarks are used descriptively without implying affiliation or endorsement. The outcome is solely determined by the official Netflix chart data for the defined week.