TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.8b

24H VOL:

$103,362,239

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,198,450,585

339,947

Markets across

34,831

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,458

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
Watchlist
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Don't Say Good Luck

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Don't Say Good Luck

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,437
N/A
N/A
$22,196
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

Don’t Say Good Luck

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
kalshi

The Last House

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,287
N/A
N/A
$42,511
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

The Last House

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

The Dating App Killer: The Monica White Story

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,103
N/A
N/A
$9,121
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

72 HOURS

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,152
N/A
N/A
$5,152
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,431
N/A
N/A
$2,431
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Arthur the King

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,729
N/A
N/A
$1,729
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Arthur the King

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

In the Land of Saints and Sinners

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,639
N/A
N/A
$1,639
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Spider-Man: Homecoming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,522
N/A
N/A
$1,522
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

To Catch a Cheater

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Minions

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,076
N/A
N/A
$1,076
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Law Abiding Citizen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$574
N/A
N/A
$574
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Extinction

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Movie A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Movie B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Movie C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This event group tracks which movie will rank #1 on the US Netflix Top 10 Movies list for the week ending August 25, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on Netflix's official ranking, with specific rules for tiebreakers and update timing.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve based on the same Netflix Top 10 US Movies list published on August 25, 2026, with consistent tiebreaker and timeout rules.Primary resolution logic: Netflix Top 10 US Movies list at top10.netflix.com

Core resolution logic:

  • The #1 ranked movie on Netflix's official US Top 10 Movies list published on August 25, 2026 determines resolution.
  • If multiple movies tie for #1, the movie with the alphabetically earliest title wins.
  • If the Netflix Top 10 update does not occur by August 28, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent outcomes.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tiebreaker: If two or more movies tie for #1, the movie whose title comes first alphabetically wins.
  • Update Timeout: If Netflix does not publish the Top 10 list by August 28, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent outcomes.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the Netflix Top 10 US Movies list is published on August 25, 2026, with a deadline of August 28, 2026 for list availability.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes only if its specified movie occupies the #1 position on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on August 25, 2026. The chart reflects viewer activity for the week ending the previous Sunday. All markets close at 11:59 PM ET on Monday, August 24, 2026, to align with chart update timing. No endorsement from Netflix is implied, and references are used descriptively. The outcome depends solely on Netflix's official chart data for that week.