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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Total volume:
$121,418
Volume 24h:
$13,855
14%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$79,766
15%

The Dating App Killer: The Monica White Story

 - Kalshi

The Dating App Killer: The Monica White Story - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

The Dating App Killer: The Monica White Story

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$54,735
N/A
N/A
$31,654
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Don't Say Good Luck

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,647
N/A
N/A
$15,703
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Don't Say Good Luck

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,401
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

The Last House

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,137
N/A
N/A
$12,194
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

The Last House

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$743
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

72 HOURS

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,793
N/A
N/A
$9,793
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

To Catch a Cheater

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,670
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Arthur the King

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,413
N/A
N/A
$4,413
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Arthur the King

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$501
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

In the Land of Saints and Sinners

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,654
N/A
N/A
$1,654
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Minions

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,585
N/A
N/A
$1,585
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,465
N/A
N/A
$1,465
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Extinction

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$956
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Spider-Man: Homecoming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$823
N/A
N/A
$823
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Law Abiding Citizen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$484
N/A
N/A
$484
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Movie A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Movie B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Movie C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
Total markets: 20

Description

This event group tracks which movie will occupy the #2 position on the US Netflix Top 10 Movies chart for the week ending August 25, 2026. The resolution depends on Netflix's official chart update and viewership data for US viewers.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve based on the same Netflix Top 10 US Movies chart published on August 25, 2026, using total US views and alphabetical tie-breakers.Primary resolution logic: Netflix Top 10 US Movies chart on top10.netflix.com

Core resolution logic:

  • The #2 movie is determined by total US views for the week ending August 25, 2026
  • Ties in ranking are broken by alphabetical order of movie titles
  • If the chart update does not occur by August 28, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Chart Update Failure: If top10.netflix.com does not update by August 28, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent
  • Tie-Breaker: If two movies are tied for #2, the alphabetically earlier title wins
Timing: Resolution occurs after the Netflix chart update on August 25, 2026, with a deadline of August 28, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on August 25, 2026, which reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday. Each market corresponds to a specific film, with a 'Yes' outcome if that film ranks exactly #2 on the published chart. Trading concludes at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's publication, ensuring all bets align with the same viewing period. While multiple films are individually tracked, only one can occupy the #2 spot, making these markets mutually exclusive. Neither Netflix nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and all references to Netflix serve only to describe the data source.