TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$115,807,555

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,188,566,556

336,771

Markets across

33,711

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,629

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
kalshi
polymarket

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Total volume:
$43,648
Volume 24h:
$5,484
0.86%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$16,539
13%

My Brilliant Career: Season 1

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 4:57 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

My Brilliant Career: Season 1

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,850
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
kalshi

My Brilliant Career: Season 1

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,863
N/A
N/A
$5,664
0d 0h 0m
Yes
kalshi

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,997
N/A
N/A
$3,860
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,325
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Outer Banks: Season 5

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,344
N/A
N/A
$3,302
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Outer Banks: Season 5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,577
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$918
N/A
N/A
$918
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Tires: Season 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,886
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Tires: Season 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$567
N/A
N/A
$567
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Love Is Blind: UK: Season 3

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,049
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Blood Sacrifice: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,013
N/A
N/A
$1,013
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

I Will Find You: Limited Series

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$666
N/A
N/A
$666
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Raw: 2026 - August 10, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
$333
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

Camp CrunchLabs: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
$166
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

The Audacity: Season 1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

MOURINHO: Season 1

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Show A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Show B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Show C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 23

Description

This event group tracks which show will occupy the #2 position on Netflix's global Top 10 TV shows chart for the week ending August 25, 2026. Multiple prediction markets across different platforms are tracking this outcome with varying levels of specificity and tie-breaking rules.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms resolve based on the same primary source (Netflix's official Top 10 chart) using consistent ranking and tie-breaking rulesPrimary resolution logic: Netflix's official global Top 10 TV shows chart published at top10.netflix.com

Core resolution logic:

  • The #2 position is determined by total global views for the week ending August 25, 2026
  • Ties in ranking are broken by alphabetical order of show titles
  • If the chart is not published by August 28, 2026, markets resolve to "Other" or equivalent outcomes

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Unpublished Chart: If Netflix fails to publish the chart by August 28, 2026, all markets resolve to their respective "Other" outcomes
  • Tie Breaking: When multiple shows have identical view counts for the #2 position, the show that comes first alphabetically wins
Timing: Resolution occurs after Netflix publishes the global Top 10 chart on August 25, 2026, with a deadline of August 28, 2026 for chart availabilityOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether a specified Netflix show occupies the #2 position on the Global Top 10 Shows chart published on August 25, 2026. The chart reflects viewing data from the week ending the previous Sunday, with all markets closing at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's release. No endorsement from Netflix is implied, and all references serve descriptive purposes only. The consistent timing and methodology across all markets ensure uniform resolution criteria, focusing solely on the ranking of each listed show for the defined week.