TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What price will BNB hit in 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

Total volume:
$207,193
Volume 24h:
$737
200%
Liquidity:
$91,170
20%
Open interest:
$536
0.19%

$700.00 - $799.99

 - Kalshi

$700.00 - $799.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

BNB price on Jan 1, 2027?

41%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 45¢ buys you 222 shares | Odds: 41% Total Payout: $222 | Net Profit: $122 Multiplier: 2.22x | ROI: 122% High Projected APY: 8,176% 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$700.00 - $799.99

Trade
41%
16%
Yes 45¢No 74¢
19¢
N/A
$205
141%
184%
$38
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↓ 650

Trade
35%
4%
Yes 38¢No 69¢
7¢
$335
$3,201
7%
56%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↓ 600

Trade
21%
Yes 21¢No 80¢
1¢
$15,372
$5,088
0%
26%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ 1000

Trade
17%
Yes 19¢No 85¢
4¢
$17,910
$45,209
0%
0.49%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

$800.00 - $899.99

Trade
16%
Yes 24¢No 88¢
12¢
N/A
$498
0%
0%
$29
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

$500.00 - $599.99

Trade
13%
Yes 18¢No 100¢
18¢
N/A
$138
0%
5%
$7
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

$900.00 - $999.99

Trade
13%
Yes 15¢No 100¢
15¢
N/A
$67
0%
0%
$67
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ 1100

Trade
13%
1%
Yes 15¢No 90¢
5¢
$367
$6,127
0%
0.31%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

$1000.00 - $1099.99

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 100¢
12¢
N/A
$242
0%
0%
$58
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

$1200.00 - $1299.99

Trade
12%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$53
0%
0%
$34
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

$1300.00 - $1399.99

Trade
12%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$51
0%
0%
$51
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

$1900.00 - $1999.99

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$5
0%
0%
$3
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

$1600.00 - $1699.99

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↓ 500

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
$497
$33,512
0%
2%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ 1200

Trade
9%
Yes 10¢No 92¢
2¢
$428
$8,253
0%
0.83%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

$1400.00 - $1499.99

Trade
9%
Yes 10¢No 100¢
10¢
N/A
$10
0%
67%
$3
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ 1300

Trade
8%
6%
Yes 12¢No 97¢
9¢
$253
$4,522
0%
4%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↓ 400

Trade
8%
Yes 10¢No 95¢
5¢
$551
$3,923
0%
0.54%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

$399.99 or below

Trade
N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
7.5%
Yes 10¢No 95¢
Avg: 7.5¢Max: 10¢
polymarket

↑ 1400

Trade
5%
1%
Yes 7¢No 96.5¢
3.5¢
$880
$9,328
0.17%
0.39%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
kalshi

$1100.00 - $1199.99

Trade
5%
Yes 11¢No 100¢
11¢
N/A
$852
0%
0%
$123
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↓ 300

Trade
5%
Yes 6.1¢No 96.3¢
2.4¢
$15,231
$3,735
0%
2%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ 1500

Trade
5%
Yes 5.9¢No 96.8¢
2.7¢
$2,916
$17,383
0%
1%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↓ 200

Trade
3%
Yes 3.8¢No 97.8¢
1.6¢
$16,859
$8,238
0%
0.7%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

↑ 1600

Trade
3%
Yes 4¢No 98.2¢
2.2¢
$16,182
$19,558
0%
1%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

This group of markets asks forecasters to predict the price of BNB (Binance Coin) by December 31, 2026. Markets cover both potential price increases (reaching specific levels) and decreases (dipping to specific levels).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms use different data sources and timing mechanisms to determine BNB's price, creating a potential for divergent resolutions.Hero tip: Consider the differing resolution timings when making predictions. Polymarket's earlier window provides more opportunities for resolution, while Kalshi focuses solely on the price at year-end.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if any 1-minute Binance BNB/USDT candle between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, hits the target price (High for 'reach' markets, Low for 'dip' markets). Source: Binance.
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if the 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST on January 1, 2027, falls within a specified range. Source: CF Benchmarks.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What price will BNB hit before 2027?

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real Time Index (RTI) prices immediately before 12 AM EST on January 1, 2027. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, and the official resolution occurs when this average falls within the defined range for that market. If the average is below $400.00, the "$399.99 or below" market resolves as Yes. If it falls between $400.00 and $1999.99, the corresponding range market resolves as Yes. If the average exceeds $1999.99, the "$2,000 or above" market resolves as Yes. All markets use the same data source and methodology, ensuring consistency across all outcomes. The final value is calculated from the average of the sixty RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration, with CF Benchmarks' RTI serving as the definitive reference for price determination.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the BNB price in 2026 market dashboard aggregates forecasts from multiple sources to provide a consensus view of where the price of BNB will be on January 1, 2027. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $207,193, with $936 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors Will BNB dip to $650 by December 31, 2026? at 34.5%, while Kalshi leans toward BNB price on Jan 1, 2027? at 41.0%. This allows traders to see how opinions are shifting and compare predictions across different venues.

Prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders, offering a different perspective than traditional spot price expectations. Spot prices are influenced by immediate supply and demand, while this market incorporates future expectations and risk assessment. The current implied probability of various BNB price points in 2026, as expressed through trading volume of $207,193, may differ significantly from analyst forecasts or futures contracts. This divergence can highlight areas where the market anticipates events not yet fully priced into current BNB valuations.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets. Trading fees, market-specific rules, and liquidity also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the way each platform presents the market—for example, the specific outcomes offered—can influence trader behavior. These differences mean that even though both venues address the same question about the BNB price in 2026, the resulting prices may not always align.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of BNB will be determined by a widely-recognized and publicly available source for cryptocurrency pricing data. Traders will be able to see the final price and how it compares to the predictions made in this market. The resolution will be based on the closing price of BNB on January 1, 2027, as reported by that source.

Several factors could significantly impact the BNB price in 2026 market. Major developments within the Binance ecosystem, such as upgrades to the BNB chain or changes in regulatory scrutiny, are key catalysts. Broader macroeconomic trends, including interest rate changes and global economic growth, will also play a role. Significant shifts in the overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, driven by events like the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs or major security breaches, could also move this market. News regarding adoption of BNB by institutions or large corporations could also influence trading activity.