TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$149,897,520

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,214,596,905

340,805

Markets across

34,373

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,679

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?
predict

What chain will Polymarket migrate to in 2026?

Apr 27, 2026, 10:51 AM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$15,560,740
Volume 24h:
$97,589
154%
Liquidity:
$4,541,629
6%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

No migration in 2026

 - Predict

No migration in 2026 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Polymarket not migrate in 2026?

82%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 82.5¢ buys you 121 shares | Odds: 82% Total Payout: $121 | Net Profit: $21 Multiplier: 1.21x | ROI: 21% | APY: 74% 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

No migration in 2026

Trade
82%
2%
Yes 82.5¢No 19.3¢
1.8¢
$136,662
$1,065,747
3%
9%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

New Polymarket chain

Trade
13%
3%
Yes 14.9¢No 89.8¢
4.7¢
$31,431
$1,027,757
6%
20%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

Arbitrum

Trade
3%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.2¢
0.1¢
$340,084
$1,656,892
0.02%
2%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

Other blockchain

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.3¢
0.1¢
$315,577
$552,681
0%
3%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

Base

Trade
1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.1¢
$308,955
$1,170,690
0%
2%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

Starknet

Trade
1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.1¢
$311,738
$471,965
0.24%
4%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

Avalanche

Trade
1%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.1¢
$307,899
$422,131
0.01%
4%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

Solana

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$310,553
$1,587,279
0%
4%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

MegaETH

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$314,205
$1,545,515
0%
0.32%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

Aptos

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$310,332
$1,202,574
0%
0.19%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

Tempo

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$301,722
$1,018,643
0%
8%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

BNB Chain

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$312,755
$920,856
0.04%
0.33%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

Hyperliquid

Trade
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.7¢
0.2¢
$318,199
$732,071
0.14%
1%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

Optimism

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$310,216
$588,078
0%
2%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

Monad

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$306,434
$919,548
0.76%
2%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

Sui

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$304,865
$678,314
0.35%
4%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
Total markets: 16

Description

Why: This is a market to determine the blockchain where the core Polymarket product will reside after it migrates. Polymarket has stated their intention to migrate to a chain other than Polygon in the past. This market will resolve according to the blockchain where the main Polymarket product migrates to in 2026. In order for a blockchain to qualify as the chain where Polymarket migrates to, three requirements are necessary: 1. Polymarket officially announces the migration is live (via a press release or X post by either Shayne Coplan or the official Polymarket Twitter account). 2. At least one non-test trade from the main Polymarket product happens on the new blockchain. 3. The L1 blockchain under which it operates must not be Polygon. "New Polymarket Chain" means a blockchain, rollup, appchain, L2, L3, or similar execution environment that previous to the Polymarket migration has not operated in production or been publicly announced for future release. If Polymarket announces a migration to multiple chains at the same time, this market will resolve to the chain Polymarket designates as the primary chain. If no primary chain is designated, it will resolve to the blockchain where the majority of transactions are settled over the first week after its launch. If Polymarket moves to an existing L2, L3, rollup, appchain, subchain, or similar execution environment that is not listed as an outcome and does not qualify as a New Polymarket Chain, this market will resolve to its parent chain if that parent chain is listed as an outcome. If no parent chain listed as an outcome applies, this market will resolve to “Other blockchain”. Some examples to illustrate how this market would resolve under different circumstances: - Existing subchain of Avalanche: this market would resolve to “Avalanche”. - New subchain in Avalanche that didn’t exist prior to the migration: this market would resolve to “New Polymarket chain” - Test trades without announcement: Test trades happen on the new chain but Polymarket doesn’t explicitly announce the migration is live before 2027. In this case, the market would resolve as “No migration in 2026” since this is one of the three requirements. If Polymarket does not migrate to a blockchain other than Polygon before December 31st 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No migration in 2026”.

Predict

Why: This is a market to determine the blockchain where the core Polymarket product will reside after it migrates. Polymarket has stated their intention to migrate to a chain other than Polygon in the past. This market will resolve according to the blockchain where the main Polymarket product migrates to in 2026. In order for a blockchain to qualify as the chain where Polymarket migrates to, three requirements are necessary: 1. Polymarket officially announces the migration is live (via a press release or X post by either Shayne Coplan or the official Polymarket Twitter account). 2. At least one non-test trade from the main Polymarket product happens on the new blockchain. 3. The L1 blockchain under which it operates must not be Polygon. "New Polymarket Chain" means a blockchain, rollup, appchain, L2, L3, or similar execution environment that previous to the Polymarket migration has not operated in production or been publicly announced for future release. If Polymarket announces a migration to multiple chains at the same time, this market will resolve to the chain Polymarket designates as the primary chain. If no primary chain is designated, it will resolve to the blockchain where the majority of transactions are settled over the first week after its launch. If Polymarket moves to an existing L2, L3, rollup, appchain, subchain, or similar execution environment that is not listed as an outcome and does not qualify as a New Polymarket Chain, this market will resolve to its parent chain if that parent chain is listed as an outcome. If no parent chain listed as an outcome applies, this market will resolve to “Other blockchain”. Some examples to illustrate how this market would resolve under different circumstances: - Existing subchain of Avalanche: this market would resolve to “Avalanche”. - New subchain in Avalanche that didn’t exist prior to the migration: this market would resolve to “New Polymarket chain” - Test trades without announcement: Test trades happen on the new chain but Polymarket doesn’t explicitly announce the migration is live before 2027. In this case, the market would resolve as “No migration in 2026” since this is one of the three requirements. If Polymarket does not migrate to a blockchain other than Polygon before December 31st 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No migration in 2026”.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Predict tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether Polymarket will migrate to another blockchain during 2026. It displays the current probability that the top outcome will occur, along with 24-hour volume of $97,542 and cumulative group volume of $15,560,740. Users can monitor price history, order flow, and market depth to understand how traders are positioning ahead of the Jan 1, 2027 resolution date. This single-venue view provides transparency into market sentiment on Polymarket's infrastructure decisions.

Prediction market odds on Predict reflect traders' consensus on Polymarket's migration likelihood, distinct from spot price movements in crypto assets. While spot markets price current token or blockchain valuations, this prediction market prices the probability of a specific corporate event—Polymarket's chain migration in 2026. Analysts and on-chain observers may publish migration forecasts based on Polymarket's technical roadmap, regulatory pressures, or competitive positioning. The prediction market odds serve as a real-time aggregation of informed trader views, often diverging from casual sentiment or analyst commentary.

On Predict, the top outcome—that Polymarket will migrate to another blockchain—is currently priced at 81.6% probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing "yes" or "no" outcomes, with prices reflecting the collective assessment of migration risk. Factors influencing the price include Polymarket's stated infrastructure plans, regulatory environment, competing layer-2 solutions, and user demand for alternative chains. As new information emerges about Polymarket's technical or business strategy, the market price adjusts to reflect updated expectations.

The market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution hinges on whether Polymarket has completed a migration to a blockchain other than its current chain by that date. The outcome is determined by official announcements from Polymarket, verified on-chain evidence of the migration, or credible reporting from major crypto news outlets. Traders should monitor Polymarket's blog, GitHub repository, and social channels for migration announcements. Any ambiguity about timing or chain selection will be clarified through the resolution process on Predict.

Key catalysts include regulatory rulings affecting Polymarket's current chain, announcements of new chain partnerships or integrations, and updates to Polymarket's technical roadmap. Competitive pressure from other prediction markets on alternative blockchains, changes in layer-2 adoption rates, and shifts in user demand could accelerate or delay migration decisions. Major upgrades to Polymarket's infrastructure, funding rounds, or leadership changes may signal strategic direction. Additionally, broader crypto market conditions, regulatory clarity around decentralized finance, and gas fee trends on competing chains will influence trader expectations and move odds on Predict.