TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?
polymarket
predict

Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Nov 25, 2025, 4:17 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$89,963
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$52,519
0.1%
Open interest:
$17,813N/A

$300M

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?

3%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 4.4¢ buys you 2,273 shares | Odds: 3% Total Payout: $2,273 | Net Profit: $2,173 Multiplier: 22.73x | ROI: 2,173% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$300M

Trade
3%
Yes 4.4¢No 99¢
3.4¢
$837
$17,795
0%
0.46%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$300M

Trade
N/A
N/A
24.3¢
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.7%
Yes 4.4¢No 99¢
Avg: 13.9¢Max: 24.3¢
polymarket

$800M

Trade
2%
Yes 3.8¢No 99¢
2.8¢
$16,746
$8,627
0%
2%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$800M

Trade
N/A
N/A
27.4¢
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.4%
Yes 3.8¢No 99¢
Avg: 15.1¢Max: 27.4¢
predict

$100M

Trade
16%
Yes 31.5¢No 99.7¢
31.2¢
$14,239
$109
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$100M

Trade
2%
Yes 3.1¢No 98.7¢
1.8¢
$658
$17,750
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.2%
Yes 17.3¢No 99.2¢
Avg: 16.5¢Max: 31.2¢
polymarket

$1B

Trade
1%
Yes 1.7¢No 99.4¢
1.1¢
$16,003
$10,314
0%
0.96%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$1B

Trade
N/A
N/A
37.4¢
$2,018
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.2%
Yes 1.7¢No 99.4¢
Avg: 19.3¢Max: 37.4¢
polymarket

$2B

Trade
1%
Yes 1.7¢No 99.7¢
1.4¢
$732
$10,172
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$2B

Trade
N/A
N/A
17.6¢
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 1.7¢No 99.7¢
Avg: 9.5¢Max: 17.6¢
polymarket

$500M

Trade
1%
Yes 1.5¢No 99.7¢
1.2¢
$617
$15,695
0%
1%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$500M

Trade
N/A
N/A
31.3¢
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.9%
Yes 1.5¢No 99.7¢
Avg: 16.3¢Max: 31.3¢
polymarket

$1.5B

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.8¢
0.8¢
$531
$9,500
0%
1%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$1.5B

Trade
N/A
N/A
35.2¢
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.6%
Yes 1¢No 99.8¢
Avg: 18¢Max: 35.2¢
Total markets: 14

Description

These markets ask whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Ventuals' token will exceed specified thresholds one day after its launch. The FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. A launch requires the token to be publicly transferable and tradable.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria, including the FDV calculation, launch requirements, timing, and fallback resolution if no token is launched.Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source available at resolution time.

Core resolution logic:

  • The FDV will be calculated as total token supply multiplied by the token price.
  • Resolution will occur at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token launch.
  • A 'launch' requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable.
  • If Ventuals does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the markets will resolve to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Liquid Market: If no liquid market exists for the token at the specified resolution time, the auditor will use the most reliable and verifiable price source available, documenting the rationale for the selection.
  • Launch Date Dispute: The official X (formerly Twitter) account of Ventuals (@ventuals) will be considered the primary source for determining the launch date. Any disputes will be resolved based on verifiable evidence of public tradability.
Timing: 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token launch, or December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if no launch occurs.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ventual's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the aggregate prediction of whether the fully diluted valuation of Ventuals will exceed a certain threshold one day after its launch. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $89,963, with $560 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to express their beliefs about the project’s initial market capitalization and potential. The Polymarket currently favors Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? at 2.7%, while Predict leans toward Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch? at 15.9%. The dashboard provides a consensus view of this prediction.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, offer a forward-looking perspective on the likelihood of an event, in this case, the Ventuals FDV exceeding a specific value. Unlike spot price expectations which reflect current market conditions, these odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders anticipating future developments. A higher probability assigned to a particular outcome suggests stronger belief in that scenario. Observing changes in the odds can provide insights into shifts in sentiment and potential catalysts influencing the FDV. This market’s price discovery process can be a valuable signal for those following the Ventuals launch.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Ventuals FDV market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk appetite, leading to differing interpretations of available information. Furthermore, liquidity levels and trading fees can vary, influencing price formation. The differing interfaces and user experiences on each platform might also attract different types of traders. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both platforms address the same underlying question about the Ventuals FDV.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on whether the fully diluted valuation of Ventuals is above the specified threshold one day after its launch, as determined by publicly available data sources. The outcome will be based on a widely recognized and trusted source for FDV calculations. Traders should monitor news and data releases related to Ventuals leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential catalysts.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Key announcements regarding partnerships, technological advancements, or regulatory developments related to Ventuals could shift trader sentiment. The overall market conditions for cryptocurrencies and the broader tech sector will also play a role. Positive or negative news coverage, social media trends, and the success of the initial Ventuals launch itself are all potential catalysts. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding price movements in this market as the resolution date approaches.