TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$142,891,824

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,211,057,904

339,560

Markets across

34,155

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,672

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Tour
All
Elections
Swedish general election: Green Party vote percent
kalshi

Swedish general election: Green Party vote percent

Aug 24, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Sep 21, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$25,448
Volume 24h:
$6,399N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$15,361
2%

At least 3%

 - Kalshi

At least 3% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 21, 2026

Time left: 24d:18h:24m

Will Green Party receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?

96%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 96¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% | APY: 81% 24 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 3%

Trade
96%
Yes 96¢No
N/A
$10,474
93%
N/A
$5,098
3w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

At least 4%

94%
Yes 94¢No
N/A
$550
0%
N/A
$550
3w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

At least 5%

90%
7%
Yes 91¢No 10¢
N/A
$1,898
37%
N/A
$1,397
3w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

At least 6%

66%
6%
Yes 66¢No 37¢
N/A
$2,849
3%
N/A
$1,105
3w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

At least 7%

60%
Yes 62¢No 57¢
19¢
N/A
$6
0%
N/A
$6
3w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

At least 9%

8%
Yes No 92¢
N/A
$1,395
68%
N/A
$931
3w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

At least 11%

3%
Yes No 97¢
N/A
$8,277
2%
N/A
$6,274
3w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

At least 8%

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 18h
active
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the Green Party's performance in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election, focusing on their share of the national vote. The outcome depends on whether their vote percentage meets or exceeds specific thresholds. Results are based on official certifications, ensuring accuracy and finality.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the Green Party achieves specified vote percentage thresholds in the 2026 Swedish general election for the Riksdag. Each market corresponds to a different minimum threshold, ranging from 3% to 11%. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the certified percentage of valid votes cast for the Green Party meets or exceeds that threshold. The percentage is calculated by dividing the total votes received by the Green Party by the total number of valid votes cast, then multiplying by 100. Only the Riksdag election results are considered; regional and municipal elections held simultaneously are excluded. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are not counted in the denominator. The final, certified results from Valmyndigheten, Sweden's Election Authority, are used for resolution, not preliminary counts released on election night or during the post-election counting period.