TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.5b
24H VOL:
$142,891,824
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,211,057,904
339,560
Markets across
34,155
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,672
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
At least 3%
- Kalshi
At least 3% - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Sep 21, 2026
Time left: 24d:18h:24m
$
This event tracks the Green Party's performance in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election, focusing on their share of the national vote. The outcome depends on whether their vote percentage meets or exceeds specific thresholds. Results are based on official certifications, ensuring accuracy and finality.
The event determines whether the Green Party achieves specified vote percentage thresholds in the 2026 Swedish general election for the Riksdag. Each market corresponds to a different minimum threshold, ranging from 3% to 11%. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the certified percentage of valid votes cast for the Green Party meets or exceeds that threshold. The percentage is calculated by dividing the total votes received by the Green Party by the total number of valid votes cast, then multiplying by 100. Only the Riksdag election results are considered; regional and municipal elections held simultaneously are excluded. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are not counted in the denominator. The final, certified results from Valmyndigheten, Sweden's Election Authority, are used for resolution, not preliminary counts released on election night or during the post-election counting period.