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$114.4b

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$84,940,147

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1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,022,755

334,261

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33,310

events

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4,574

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Elections
Swedish general election: Centre Party vote percent
kalshi

Swedish general election: Centre Party vote percent

Aug 24, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Sep 21, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$21,698
Volume 24h:
$3,641N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$16,939
24%

At least 3%

 - Kalshi

At least 3% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 21, 2026

Time left: 24d:23h:37m

Will Centre Party receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?

96%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 97¢ buys you 103 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $103 | Net Profit: $3 Multiplier: 1.03x | ROI: 3% | APY: 56% 24 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 3%

Trade
96%
1%
Yes 97¢No
N/A
$6,534
24%
N/A
$4,939
3w 3d 23h
active
kalshi

At least 4%

95%
Yes 96¢No
N/A
$4,514
0%
N/A
$3,012
3w 3d 23h
active
kalshi

At least 5%

87%
Yes 90¢No 11¢
N/A
$1,073
0%
N/A
$1,048
3w 3d 23h
active
kalshi

At least 12%

6%
Yes No 96¢
N/A
$5,116
86%
N/A
$5,116
3w 3d 23h
active
kalshi

At least 10%

6%
Yes No 96¢
N/A
$4,461
0%
N/A
$2,824
3w 3d 23h
active
kalshi

At least 6%

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 23h
active
kalshi

At least 7%

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 23h
active
kalshi

At least 8%

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 23h
active
kalshi

At least 9%

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 23h
active
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the Centre Party's performance in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election, focusing on whether its share of valid votes meets or exceeds specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the officially certified results for the national Riksdag election, excluding regional or municipal contests and any invalid ballots.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the Centre Party's certified vote share in the 2026 Swedish Riksdag election, as officially determined by Valmyndigheten. Each market corresponds to a specific minimum percentage threshold (ranging from 3% to 12%), and resolves to 'Yes' if the party's final vote percentage falls at or above that threshold, up to 100%. The calculation uses only valid votes cast for the Riksdag, excluding invalid, spoiled, blank, or rejected ballots, and disregards any preliminary counts or regional/municipal election results. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding vote calculation methodology and resolution sources.