TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.4b
24H VOL:
$84,940,147
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,163,022,755
334,261
Markets across
33,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,574
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
At least 3%
- Kalshi
At least 3% - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Sep 21, 2026
Time left: 24d:23h:37m
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This event tracks the Centre Party's performance in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election, focusing on whether its share of valid votes meets or exceeds specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the officially certified results for the national Riksdag election, excluding regional or municipal contests and any invalid ballots.
These markets resolve based on the Centre Party's certified vote share in the 2026 Swedish Riksdag election, as officially determined by Valmyndigheten. Each market corresponds to a specific minimum percentage threshold (ranging from 3% to 12%), and resolves to 'Yes' if the party's final vote percentage falls at or above that threshold, up to 100%. The calculation uses only valid votes cast for the Riksdag, excluding invalid, spoiled, blank, or rejected ballots, and disregards any preliminary counts or regional/municipal election results. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding vote calculation methodology and resolution sources.