TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.5b
24H VOL:
$131,483,547
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,200,781,395
338,101
Markets across
34,156
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,657
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Before Oct 16, 2026
- Kalshi
Before Oct 16, 2026 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 1, 2026
Latest in Science and Technology
Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Oct 16, 2026?
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Description
This market tracks whether SpaceX will conduct its fourteenth Starship flight test within specific timeframes. The outcome depends on whether the launch occurs after the market issuance and before the defined cutoff date for each individual market. All markets share the same fundamental criteria but differ only in their respective deadlines.
Kalshi
The event determines whether SpaceX conducts its fourteenth Starship flight test within any of the specified timeframes extending from August 21, 2026, to October 16, 2026. Each market has its own deadline, ranging from August 21 to October 16, 2026, and all resolve to 'Yes' if the fourteenth Starship flight test occurs after market issuance but before the respective deadline. The launch date is defined as the calendar date of liftoff in the local timezone of the launch site, as officially confirmed by SpaceX. This unified rule structure ensures consistent evaluation across all markets, with each market’s outcome contingent solely upon whether the fourteenth flight test occurs within its unique temporal boundary.
