TOTAL VOLUME:
$150.1b
24H VOL:
$141,844,315
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,859,322,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,733,993,399
484,032
Markets across
35,818
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,360
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Above $2,000/MTU
- Kalshi
Above $2,000/MTU - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Dec 17, 2026
$
These markets track potential future price levels of a specific tungsten product based on assessments from an independent metals market authority. The outcome depends on whether the officially published average price for the product meets or exceeds various threshold values on a specific date.
All markets rely on the Shanghai Metals Market's (SMM) published average price assessment for CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (code SMM-WU-APT-003) as determined and released at 8:00 AM ET on December 17, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if this average price exceeds its specific threshold—$1,000, $1,500, $1,750, $2,000, or $2,250 per metric ton unit (MTU). The assessment used must be the exact average value reported by SMM without any conversion, adjustment, or independent calculation. Only the designated weekly assessment for the exact date governs; neither high/low observations nor multi-date averages from SMM’s historical tables apply. If SMM fails to publish an assessment for that date, COMMODITIES provisions for missing or delayed publications apply. All markets follow COMMODITIES corrections rules, including a 24-hour window for formal corrections, with any corrections issued after market expiration being excluded. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with SMM, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.