TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$141,844,315

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,993,399

484,032

Markets across

35,818

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,360

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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SMM CIF Rotterdam APT price on December 17, 2026
kalshi

SMM CIF Rotterdam APT price on December 17, 2026

Oct 15, 2026, 1:25 PM EST - Dec 17, 2026, 8:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$250,577
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$250,559
0%

Above $2,000/MTU

 - Kalshi

Above $2,000/MTU - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 17, 2026

Will the CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT price (SMM-WU-APT-003) be above $2,000/MTU on Dec 17, 2026?

86%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 96¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 86% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% | APY: 34% 51 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $2,000/MTU

Trade
86%
Yes 96¢No 9¢
5¢
N/A
$83,540
0%
0%
$83,540
1mo 3w
active
kalshi

Above $1,750/MTU

85%
Yes 94¢No 7¢
1¢
N/A
$83,507
0%
0%
$83,505
1mo 3w
active
kalshi

Above $2,250/MTU

79%
Yes 94¢No 15¢
9¢
N/A
$83,530
0%
0%
$83,514
1mo 3w
active
kalshi

Above $1,000/MTU

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 3w
active
kalshi

Above $1,500/MTU

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 3w
active
Total markets: 5

Description

These markets track potential future price levels of a specific tungsten product based on assessments from an independent metals market authority. The outcome depends on whether the officially published average price for the product meets or exceeds various threshold values on a specific date.

Kalshi

All markets rely on the Shanghai Metals Market's (SMM) published average price assessment for CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (code SMM-WU-APT-003) as determined and released at 8:00 AM ET on December 17, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if this average price exceeds its specific threshold—$1,000, $1,500, $1,750, $2,000, or $2,250 per metric ton unit (MTU). The assessment used must be the exact average value reported by SMM without any conversion, adjustment, or independent calculation. Only the designated weekly assessment for the exact date governs; neither high/low observations nor multi-date averages from SMM’s historical tables apply. If SMM fails to publish an assessment for that date, COMMODITIES provisions for missing or delayed publications apply. All markets follow COMMODITIES corrections rules, including a 24-hour window for formal corrections, with any corrections issued after market expiration being excluded. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with SMM, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.