TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
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Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$88,923
Volume 24h:
$453
79%
Liquidity:
$8,681
24%
Open interest:
$7,835N/A

Anthropic

 - Polymarket

Anthropic - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:05h:44m

Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?

69%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 78¢ buys you 128 shares | Odds: 69% Total Payout: $128 | Net Profit: $28 Multiplier: 1.28x | ROI: 28% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Anthropic

Trade
69%
Yes 78¢No 40¢
18¢
$79
$16,883
0.66%
26%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Google

23%
4%
Yes 29¢No 83¢
12¢
$543
$42,162
0.62%
9%
N/A
4d 17h 43m
active
polymarket

OpenAI

7%
2%
Yes 11.1¢No 98¢
9.1¢
$279
$8,085
0.72%
6%
N/A
4d 17h 43m
active
polymarket

Alibaba

6%
4%
Yes 10.3¢No 99.3¢
9.6¢
$220
$2,627
0.86%
20%
N/A
4d 17h 43m
active
polymarket

Moonshot

2%
Yes 3¢No 99.8¢
2.8¢
$209
$1,486
0%
48%
N/A
4d 17h 43m
active
polymarket

Z.ai

1%
Yes 1¢No 99.8¢
0.8¢
$248
$1,620
0%
27%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Baidu

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.8¢
0.7¢
$374
$1,337
0%
34%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

ByteDance

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.9¢
0.8¢
$590
$1,342
0%
34%
N/A
4d 17h 43m
active
polymarket

DeepSeek

1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.9¢
0.8¢
$532
$1,341
0%
34%
N/A
4d 17h 43m
active
polymarket

Xiaomi

0%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.9¢
0.7¢
$306
$1,623
0%
28%
N/A
4d 17h 43m
active
polymarket

Tencent

0%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.9¢
0.7¢
$460
$1,350
0%
37%
N/A
4d 17h 43m
active
polymarket

SpaceXAI

0%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.9¢
0.6¢
$461
$1,544
0%
28%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Meta

0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.8¢
0.4¢
$111
$1,478
0%
32%
N/A
4d 17h 43m
active
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.8¢
—
$736
$1,356
0%
4%
N/A
4d 17h 43m
active
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
—
$453
$1,103
0%
18%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$622
$917
0%
0%
N/A
4d 17h 43m
active
polymarket

Amazon

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$713
$822
0%
0%
N/A
4d 17h 43m
active
polymarket

StepFun

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$696
$762
0%
0%
N/A
4d 17h 43m
active
polymarket

Nvidia

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$463
$714
0%
0%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
polymarket

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$586
$370
0%
0%
N/A
4d 5h 44m
active
Total markets: 20

Description

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Text Arena Math AI Lab performance market dashboard shows live odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $453. This view lets you monitor how traders value the second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October? outcome in real time, with charts reflecting market sentiment and liquidity trends.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds often reflect a more nuanced or contrarian view. Analysts may weigh technical benchmarks or qualitative factors differently than traders, who price in real-time sentiment and new data. Monitoring shifts in this market can reveal emerging consensus or skepticism that isn’t yet reflected in traditional research reports.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the price through buying and selling shares that pay out based on the outcome. The current top outcome has a chance of 69.0%, with volume of $453 driving liquidity. Prices adjust continuously as new information emerges about the Text Arena Math AI Lab’s performance.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will depend on official announcements or widely accepted performance metrics from the Text Arena Math AI Lab, reflecting their standing relative to peers at that time.