TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
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Tour
All
Companies
Robinhood funded customers in 2026
kalshi

Robinhood funded customers in 2026

Jun 9, 2026, 6:17 PM EST - Jan 31, 2028, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$219,010
Volume 24h:
$41
478%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$45,846
0.02%

Above 28.4 million

 - Kalshi

Above 28.4 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 31, 2028

Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 28.4 million funded customers in 2026?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 2% Illiquid market 461 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 28.4 million

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 4¢
4¢
N/A
$16,099
0%
0%
$4,457
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 28 million

98%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$11,434
0%
0%
$1,056
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 28.2 million

97%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$16,735
0%
N/A
$4,588
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 28.8 million

92%
Yes 95¢No 9¢
4¢
N/A
$11,286
0%
0%
$2,302
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 28.6 million

91%
Yes 96¢No 8¢
4¢
N/A
$11,012
0%
0%
$2,062
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 29 million

82%
3%
Yes 81¢No 27¢
8¢
N/A
$13,632
0.16%
0.16%
$2,140
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 29.2 million

60%
Yes 66¢No 40¢
6¢
N/A
$7,339
0.26%
0.26%
$1,680
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 29.4 million

49%
Yes 51¢No 51¢
2¢
N/A
$10,505
0%
0.05%
$1,706
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 29.6 million

40%
Yes 44¢No 60¢
4¢
N/A
$11,802
0%
0.85%
$1,761
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 29.8 million

30%
Yes 37¢No 70¢
7¢
N/A
$16,658
0%
0%
$3,438
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 30 million

29%
Yes 31¢No 77¢
8¢
N/A
$17,457
0%
0%
$1,438
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 30.2 million

20%
Yes 21¢No 80¢
1¢
N/A
$25,080
0%
0.04%
$4,507
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 31 million

13%
Yes 21¢No 87¢
8¢
N/A
$10,923
0%
0.02%
$2,096
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 32 million

13%
Yes 19¢No 89¢
8¢
N/A
$10,231
0%
0%
$3,478
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 35 million

10%
Yes 14¢No 93¢
7¢
N/A
$7,068
0%
0.13%
$2,424
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 34 million

9%
Yes 11¢No 94¢
5¢
N/A
$5,707
0%
0.16%
$1,863
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 33 million

8%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
N/A
$8,197
0%
0.1%
$2,740
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 36.2 million

5%
Yes 7¢No 100¢
7¢
N/A
$1,055
0%
0%
$332
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 36.4 million

5%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$726
0.14%
0.14%
$646
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 36.6 million

3%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$26
0%
0%
$21
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 36 million

3%
Yes 10¢No 96¢
6¢
N/A
$6,039
0%
0.08%
$1,111
1y 3mo
active
Total markets: 21

Description

Robinhood Markets' customer base growth in 2026, specifically tracking the expansion of its funded customer accounts on its investment platform.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by Robinhood Markets Inc's reported funded customers for 2026, measured in individuals. The event establishes threshold levels ranging from above 28 million to above 30.2 million customers, with each threshold representing a distinct resolution point. Actual reported funded customers that exceed any given threshold will resolve that corresponding market to Yes. The resolution depends on the official reporting by Robinhood Markets Inc for the full year 2026.

Frequently asked questions

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights. While traditional analysts often predict outcomes based on models and reports, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who put their capital at risk. Currently, the market is pricing in a different probability than many publicly available analyst estimates regarding Robinhood’s customer growth. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are opinions, while this market represents a real-time assessment of probabilities based on actual trading activity. The difference highlights how traders weigh various factors and information.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price based on their expectations. Traders bid on whether Robinhood will exceed a certain number of funded customers in 2026, and the price reflects the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived likelihood of Robinhood achieving the target, while lower prices suggest the opposite. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new data and reflect collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Jan 31, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of funded customer accounts reported by Robinhood Markets Inc. in their official 2026 annual reporting will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data, ensuring transparency and accuracy. Traders will be able to see the final reported number and how it corresponds to the market's settlement conditions. The final outcome will be determined by the official figures released by the company.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Jan 31, 2028. Key catalysts include Robinhood's quarterly earnings reports, any announcements regarding new product launches or partnerships, and broader macroeconomic trends impacting the financial services sector. Changes in interest rates, overall market volatility, and competitor activity could also influence trader sentiment. Positive news regarding user acquisition or revenue growth would likely push prices higher, while negative news could lead to a decline. Regulatory changes affecting Robinhood’s business model are another factor to watch closely.