TOTAL VOLUME:
$150.1b
24H VOL:
$142,857,652
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,859,322,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,733,278,615
483,990
Markets across
35,811
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,349
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Above 28.4 million
- Kalshi
Above 28.4 million - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Jan 31, 2028
$
Robinhood Markets' customer base growth in 2026, specifically tracking the expansion of its funded customer accounts on its investment platform.
Resolution is determined by Robinhood Markets Inc's reported funded customers for 2026, measured in individuals. The event establishes threshold levels ranging from above 28 million to above 30.2 million customers, with each threshold representing a distinct resolution point. Actual reported funded customers that exceed any given threshold will resolve that corresponding market to Yes. The resolution depends on the official reporting by Robinhood Markets Inc for the full year 2026.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price based on their expectations. Traders bid on whether Robinhood will exceed a certain number of funded customers in 2026, and the price reflects the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived likelihood of Robinhood achieving the target, while lower prices suggest the opposite. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new data and reflect collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Jan 31, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of funded customer accounts reported by Robinhood Markets Inc. in their official 2026 annual reporting will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data, ensuring transparency and accuracy. Traders will be able to see the final reported number and how it corresponds to the market's settlement conditions. The final outcome will be determined by the official figures released by the company.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Jan 31, 2028. Key catalysts include Robinhood's quarterly earnings reports, any announcements regarding new product launches or partnerships, and broader macroeconomic trends impacting the financial services sector. Changes in interest rates, overall market volatility, and competitor activity could also influence trader sentiment. Positive news regarding user acquisition or revenue growth would likely push prices higher, while negative news could lead to a decline. Regulatory changes affecting Robinhood’s business model are another factor to watch closely.