PJM Dominion Hub average real-time power price (Week 44)

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM Dominion Hub for the week ending October 30, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds ($25/MWh, $35/MWh, $45/MWh, $55/MWh, $70/MWh, $100/MWh, and $150/MWh). The relevant period runs from October 23, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT to October 30, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT, including the start time but excluding the end time. Data sources are PJM Data Miner 2’s verified hourly real-time total Locational Marginal Prices (LMPs), with intervals following Eastern-time start times. The calculation involves taking a simple average of all applicable hourly prices, including negative prices, and rounding the average to two decimal places, with exact halves rounded away from zero. If the average equals the threshold, the market resolves to No. Trading closes on October 30, 2026, at 4:59 PM EDT, and the final delivery interval is included in the calculation. Only the first published applicable prices are used; later corrections are considered only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Unverified, estimated, indicative, and forecast prices are excluded. Missing data points are not filled in. If at least 95% of required intervals are available, the average is calculated using available prices. If fewer than 95% of intervals are available, the outcome is resolved only if the available data definitively establishes the result; otherwise, the market settles at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules.