PJM AEP-Dayton Hub average real-time power price (Week 44)

Kalshi

The event determines if the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM AEP-Dayton Hub for the week ending October 30, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds ($25/MWh, $35/MWh, $45/MWh, $55/MWh, $70/MWh, $100/MWh, or $150/MWh). The relevant period runs from October 23, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT to October 30, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT, including the start time but excluding the end time. Prices are drawn from PJM Data Miner 2’s verified hourly real-time total Locational Marginal Prices (LMPs), with intervals aligned to Eastern-time start times. The resolution uses a simple average of all applicable hourly prices, including negative values, rounded to two decimal places with exact halves resolved away from zero; equality with any threshold resolves to "No". Trading closes on October 30, 2026, at 4:59 PM EDT, and the final delivery interval is included in calculations. Only the first published prices are used, with later corrections considered only if issued before expiration and accepted as material error corrections by the Exchange. Unverified, estimated, indicative, and forecast prices are excluded. Missing data points are not filled; if at least 95% of required intervals are available, the average is calculated from available prices. If less than 95% of intervals are available, the market resolves only if the available data conclusively determines the outcome; otherwise, it settles at the Exchange-determined last fair price under full rules.