TOTAL VOLUME:
$150.1b
24H VOL:
$142,857,652
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,859,322,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,733,278,615
483,990
Markets across
35,811
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,349
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
No IPO before January 2027
- Predict
No IPO before January 2027 - Predict
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
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This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Currently, analysts are offering a wide range of predictions for Oura's IPO closing market cap, with estimates varying significantly based on different valuation methodologies and growth projections. This market provides a different perspective, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their capital at risk. While analyst forecasts offer expert opinions, the odds on Predict represent a continuously updated assessment of probability based on actual trading activity. It’s useful to compare these two viewpoints to gain a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing market cap of Oura on its IPO day will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on the official closing price reported by the relevant stock exchange, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution. Traders should monitor news sources for the official IPO date and closing price to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding Oura's pre-IPO funding rounds, investor interest, or changes in the overall market conditions for IPOs could cause shifts in the odds. Positive or negative press coverage, particularly concerning Oura's growth rate or competitive landscape, would also likely influence trading activity. Furthermore, broader economic indicators, such as interest rate changes or shifts in investor sentiment, could affect valuations and, consequently, the price action in this market.