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Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Jul 27, 2026, 11:05 PM EST - Jun 30, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$601,282
Volume 24h:
$15,350
28%
Liquidity:
$413,675
8%
Open interest:
$77,522N/A

The Odyssey

 - Polymarket

The Odyssey - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jun 30, 2027

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

48%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 48¢ buys you 208 shares | Odds: 48% Total Payout: $208 | Net Profit: $108 Multiplier: 2.08x | ROI: 108% | APY: 196% 246 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

The Odyssey

Trade
48%
Yes 48¢No 53¢
1¢
$19,196
$189,218
0.21%
14%
N/A
8mo 6d
active
polymarket

Film D

Trade
26%
2%
Yes 26.7¢No 74¢
0.7¢
$12,227
$44,348
3%
70%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Film C

Trade
13%
1%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
$11,874
$32,314
1%
34%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Dune: Part Three

Trade
9%
Yes 10¢No 93¢
3¢
$15,715
$39,055
3%
26%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Digger

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 3.6¢No 96.5¢
0.1¢
$15,499
$33,883
0.85%
30%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Wild Horse Nine

Trade
1%
Yes 1.6¢No 99.5¢
1.1¢
$20,356
$28,086
1%
42%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Film H

Trade
1%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.5¢
0.1¢
$10,422
$14,477
20%
267%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Film A

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.8¢
0.2¢
$18,470
$16,646
0.92%
72%
N/A
8mo 6d
active
polymarket

Project Hail Mary

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$38,817
$17,499
1%
76%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

The Drama

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$13,568
$15,813
3%
136%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Film B

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$13,538
$17,733
0.92%
68%
N/A
8mo 6d
active
polymarket

Fjord

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$20,731
$17,375
2%
57%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Josephine

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$17,623
$16,568
0.98%
70%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Behemoth!

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$19,227
$16,394
1%
62%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

The Social Reckoning

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$14,963
$16,384
13%
78%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Tony

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$14,200
$14,696
2%
80%
N/A
8mo 6d
active
polymarket

Film F

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$8,754
$10,428
2%
175%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Film E

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$14,007
$10,416
2%
151%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$12,649
$13,737
0%
53%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

All of a Sudden

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$10,936
$7,963
0%
0.63%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Saturn Return

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$9,741
$6,853
0%
0.74%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Avengers: Doomsday

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$15,997
$6,366
294%
294%
N/A
8mo 6d
active
polymarket

Film G

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$9,405
$4,895
0%
2,829%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Michael

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$12,960
$4,262
0%
0%
N/A
8mo 6d
active
polymarket

Disclosure Day

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$13,481
$3,000
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the 2027 Oscars Best Picture market tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume on Polymarket. It provides a visual representation of how traders are betting on the potential winners, showing changes in market sentiment as new information emerges. You can monitor the top contenders and see how their chances evolve leading up to the ceremony. The data displayed reflects the collective wisdom of Polymarket users, updated continuously based on trading activity.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a blend of expert opinions and crowd-sourced speculation. While analysts may weigh factors like box office performance and critical acclaim, traders in this market incorporate real-time betting dynamics and sentiment shifts. Sometimes the odds align closely with high-profile predictions, but there are also occasions when market momentum pushes a different film to the forefront. Tracking both sources together can give a fuller picture of pre-Oscars sentiment.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders determine pricing through active buying and selling of contracts representing possible winners. The current implied probability for each film is shown as a percentage, derived from the market’s ongoing activity. As new reviews, awards buzz, or controversies surface, these probabilities can shift quickly. The top outcome’s chance is currently displayed at 47.5%, reflecting the collective assessment of Polymarket participants at this moment.

This market resolves around Jul 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be determined by the official Oscars ceremony announcements, and the market will close immediately after the results are announced. Traders can place bets up until the final moments before the ceremony, with the market settling based on the publicly confirmed winner.

Several signals could shift the odds in this market before resolution. Key catalysts include major award nominations, critical reviews from influential critics, audience awards from film festivals, and any controversy or backlash surrounding the films. Performance at early award shows, social media trends, and even unexpected director or actor endorsements can also sway trader sentiment. As the Oscars approach, any last-minute polling data or buzz from press events may cause rapid movements in the market.