TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$91,248,924

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,520,955

334,440

Markets across

33,346

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,559

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Entertainment
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner
kalshi
polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

Total volume:
$82,195
Volume 24h:
$742
55%
Liquidity:
$12,287
37%
Open interest:
$32,626
1%

Christopher Nolan

 - Kalshi

Christopher Nolan - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Mar 14, 2027

2027 Best Director Oscar nominations?

96%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 96¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% | APY: 11% 147 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Christopher Nolan

Trade
96%
Yes 96¢No
N/A
$10,824
0%
1%
$3,774
4mo 3w 6d
active
kalshi

Denis Villeneuve

67%
3%
Yes 64¢No 42¢
N/A
$6,548
2%
20%
$2,706
4mo 3w 6d
active
kalshi

Javier Calvo

66%
Yes 66¢No 35¢
N/A
$2,007
14%
17%
$1,320
4mo 3w 6d
active
kalshi

Martin McDonagh

58%
Yes 59¢No 46¢
N/A
$5,251
0%
0.95%
$3,193
4mo 3w 6d
active
kalshi

Alejandro González Iñárritu

55%
Yes 65¢No 40¢
N/A
$2,919
0%
2%
$2,752
4mo 3w 6d
active
kalshi

Cristian Mungiu

54%
Yes 54¢No 53¢
N/A
$1,390
1%
7%
$1,117
4mo 3w 6d
active
polymarket

The Odyssey

42%
Yes 42¢No 59¢
$3,214
$12,288
0%
15%
N/A
6mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Olivia Wilde

28%
6%
Yes 31¢No 73¢
N/A
$6,971
3%
42%
$3,570
4mo 3w 6d
active
kalshi

Phil Lord

27%
Yes 20¢No 86¢
N/A
$1,477
3%
11%
$1,093
4mo 3w 6d
active
kalshi

David Fincher

24%
Yes 24¢No 82¢
N/A
$2,659
4%
5%
$1,022
4mo 3w 6d
active
kalshi

Ryusuke Hamaguchi

22%
Yes 22¢No 84¢
N/A
$492
0%
2%
$488
4mo 3w 6d
active
kalshi

Tony Gilroy

21%
Yes 33¢No 73¢
N/A
$1,224
0%
0%
$610
4mo 3w 6d
active
kalshi

Curry Barker

18%
Yes 18¢No 88¢
N/A
$2,654
0%
9%
$1,559
4mo 3w 6d
active
kalshi

Christopher Miller

13%
Yes 19¢No 87¢
N/A
$1,766
0%
0%
$859
4mo 3w 6d
active
polymarket

Dune: Part Three

13%
Yes 15¢No 90¢
$1,387
$3,452
0%
14%
N/A
6mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

Project Hail Mary

11%
1%
Yes 13¢No 91¢
$774
$883
0%
24%
N/A
6mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Steven Spielberg

10%
Yes 12¢No 92¢
N/A
$8,048
0%
0.34%
$3,955
4mo 3w 6d
active
kalshi

Paweł Pawlikowski

10%
Yes No 99¢
N/A
$996
0%
2%
$323
4mo 3w 6d
active
kalshi

Beth de Araujo

8%
Yes No 98¢
N/A
$255
0%
0%
$255
4mo 3w 6d
active
kalshi

Ben Affleck

8%
Yes No 99¢
N/A
$14
0%
0%
$14
4mo 3w 6d
active
polymarket

Disclosure Day

7%
Yes No 93.3¢
0.3¢
$1,491
$457
0%
0%
N/A
6mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

The Black Ball

4%
Yes 7.6¢No 99¢
6.6¢
$604
$379
0%
185%
N/A
6mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Greta Gerwig

4%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$2,413
0%
0%
$1,498
4mo 3w 6d
active
polymarket

Whalefall

3%
Yes 6.1¢No 99.5¢
5.6¢
$917
$162
0%
0%
N/A
6mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Danny Boyle

3%
Yes 10¢No 96¢
N/A
$1,916
0%
0%
$428
4mo 3w 6d
active
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the Best Original Score category at the 99th Academy Awards (Oscars) in 2027. The markets cover various films and a catch-all 'another film' option, resolving based on the official winner declared by AMPAS.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve based on the official winner of the Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards, with clear rules for ties and no-winner scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including their website and the live broadcast of the award ceremony

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the film that wins the Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards
  • If no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, the market resolves to 'Other' or the equivalent option
  • In case of a tie, the film whose title comes first alphabetically wins

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Winner Declared: If no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, the market resolves to 'Other' or the equivalent option
  • Tie: In case of a tie, the market resolves in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order
Timing: The market resolves after the 99th Academy Awards ceremony on March 14, 2027, with a deadline of June 30, 2027, for a winner to be declaredOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

A director receives a Best Director nomination at the 99th Academy Awards if they are officially nominated by the Academy for that category. Each individual director's nomination status is evaluated independently based on the official Academy Awards nomination announcement. The 99th Academy Awards nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027.