TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$91,248,924

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,520,955

334,440

Markets across

33,346

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,559

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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OpenAI market share this week
kalshi

OpenAI market share this week

Aug 24, 2026, 2:30 PM EST - Aug 30, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$12,558
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$10,532
0%

Above 15.5%

 - Kalshi

Above 15.5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 03d:15h:07m

OpenAI market share this week?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 150% 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 15.5%

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$2,210
0%
N/A
$1,260
3d 15h 7m
active
kalshi

Above 17.5%

Trade
97%
Yes 98¢No 40¢
38¢
N/A
$2,260
0%
N/A
$2,260
3d 15h 7m
active
kalshi

Above 16.5%

Trade
93%
Yes 96¢No 5¢
1¢
N/A
$3,543
0%
N/A
$3,543
3d 15h 7m
active
kalshi

Above 18.5%

Trade
69%
Yes 69¢No 58¢
27¢
N/A
$1,463
0%
N/A
$1,390
3d 15h 7m
active
kalshi

Above 19.5%

Trade
21%
Yes 31¢No 79¢
10¢
N/A
$3,082
0%
N/A
$2,079
3d 15h 7m
active
kalshi

Above 20.5%

Trade
N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 15h 7m
active
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the weekly market share performance of OpenAI's AI models as measured by a third-party benchmarking service. Participants assess whether OpenAI's models will capture a specific percentage of the total AI model usage during a defined week. The outcome depends on independent data released after the week concludes.

Kalshi

If OpenAI scores above 15.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If OpenAI scores above 16.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If OpenAI scores above 17.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If OpenAI scores above 18.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If OpenAI scores above 19.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If OpenAI scores above 20.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.