TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$84,940,147

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,022,755

334,261

Markets across

33,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,574

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Next Gemini Pro model release
kalshi

Next Gemini Pro model release

Aug 24, 2026, 5:15 PM EST - Jan 15, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$2,670
Volume 24h:
$16N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$2,655
0.61%

Before Oct 1, 2026

 - Kalshi

Before Oct 1, 2026 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 15, 2027

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Oct 1, 2026?

29%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 27¢ buys you 370 shares | Odds: 29% Total Payout: $370 | Net Profit: $270 Multiplier: 3.70x | ROI: 270% High Projected APY: 2,865% 141 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before Oct 1, 2026

Trade
29%
1%
Yes 27¢No 75¢
2¢
N/A
$145
4%
N/A
$145
4mo 3w
active
kalshi

Before Sep 16, 2026

Trade
18%
Yes 19¢No 82¢
1¢
N/A
$15
200%
N/A
$15
4mo 3w
active
kalshi

Before Sep 1, 2026

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$2,510
0%
N/A
$2,495
4mo 3w
active
kalshi

Before Oct 16, 2026

Trade
N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 3w
active
kalshi

Before Nov 1, 2026

Trade
N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 3w
active
kalshi

Before Nov 16, 2026

Trade
N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 3w
active
kalshi

Before Dec 1, 2026

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 3w
active
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks whether Google will publicly launch the next version of its Gemini Pro AI model by specific dates in 2026. The release must be available to the general public, not confined to a closed beta, though it can be offered through a premium subscription service.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential release timelines for Google's next Gemini Pro model throughout 2026, with successive markets closing on September 1, September 16, October 1, October 16, November 1, November 16, and December 1, 2026. Each market will resolve to 'Yes' if Google publicly releases the next Gemini Pro model before its respective deadline. A public release is defined as one that is not limited to a closed beta, though the model may be initially offered through a high-cost subscription tier. The outcome is determined by the earliest date on which the model is released; if the model is released before any of the specified dates, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes,' and all subsequent markets for later dates automatically resolve to 'Yes' as well. If no release occurs by December 1, 2026, all markets resolve to 'No.'