TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.4b
24H VOL:
$91,248,924
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,163,520,955
334,440
Markets across
33,346
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,559
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Before Dec 1, 2026
- Kalshi
Before Dec 1, 2026 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
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Vol.
·
Resolves Dec 1, 2026
Latest in Science and Technology
Will Google release next Gemini Flash model before Dec 1, 2026?
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Description
This event tracks whether Google will publicly launch the next version of its Gemini Flash AI model by specific dates in 2026. The release must be available to the general public, not confined to a closed beta, though it can be offered through a paid subscription service. The outcome depends on the earliest date by which the model is officially made available.
Kalshi
The event resolves to Yes if Google publicly releases the next Gemini Flash model before any of the specified dates ranging from September 1, 2026, to December 1, 2026. A public release means the model must be available outside of a closed beta environment; however, offering the model through a high-cost subscription tier is permissible. The earliest qualifying release date among the defined thresholds determines the resolution. Each date serves as a separate milestone, with the market resolving positively if the release occurs at or prior to any of these deadlines. The consistent secondary rule ensures that all qualifying releases maintain public accessibility, excluding closed beta distributions.
