TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$84,940,147

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,022,755

334,261

Markets across

33,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,574

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
kalshi

New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?

Mar 28, 2025, 10:00 AM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$114,364
Volume 24h:
$51,829
2,698%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$99,898
86%

Chris Pappas

 - Kalshi

Chris Pappas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New Hampshire?

93%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 93.5¢ buys you 107 shares | Odds: 93% Total Payout: $107 | Net Profit: $7 Multiplier: 1.07x | ROI: 7% | APY: 43% 68 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chris Pappas

Trade
93%
5%
Yes 93.5¢No 7.4¢
0.9¢
N/A
$48,538
85%
341%
$40,245
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Karishma Manzur

Trade
8%
Yes 7.9¢No 92.2¢
0.1¢
N/A
$64,960
83%
570%
$58,788
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Maggie Goodlander

Trade
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$33
0%
0%
$33
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Jared Sullivan

Trade
2%
Yes 0.8¢No 100¢
0.8¢
N/A
$3
0%
0%
$3
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Stefany Shaheen

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$209
0%
0.48%
$209
2mo 1w 1d
active
kalshi

Annie Kuster

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 100¢
0.8¢
N/A
$622
0%
509%
$622
2mo 1w 1d
active
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks which Democrat will secure the party's nomination to contest the 2026 New Hampshire Class II Senate seat. On Kalshi, Chris Pappas holds 90.1% probability of becoming the Democratic nominee, while Karishma Manzur stands at 5.1%. The market resolves based on the official Democratic Party nomination outcome. Watch the 2026 general election on November 3rd, 2026, when the nominated candidate will face off against the Republican nominee.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on which candidate wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the 2026 Class II New Hampshire Senate seat. The market resolves Yes if any of the specified candidates—Chris Pappas, Jared Sullivan, Karishma Manzur, Maggie Goodlander, Annie Kuster, or Stefany Shaheen—wins the nomination.

Frequently asked questions

The New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee market resolves on Nov 3, 2026, following the Democratic primary process. Resolution is determined by the official Democratic nominee selected through New Hampshire's primary election and any subsequent party procedures. The market will settle based on which candidate is formally designated as the Democratic nominee for the general election. Traders should monitor primary dates, candidate announcements, and party rules to anticipate resolution timing and potential outcome shifts.

Key catalysts for price movement include primary election results, candidate endorsements from national Democratic figures, campaign fundraising announcements, and debate performances. Polling releases showing shifts in voter preference will directly influence market odds. Candidate withdrawals or new entrants into the race could dramatically reprrice the market. Media coverage of scandals, policy positions, or electability concerns may also trigger sharp moves. Macro political events, changes in Senate control expectations, or shifts in national Democratic strategy could indirectly affect New Hampshire's nomination dynamics and trader positioning.