TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$91,248,924

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,520,955

334,440

Markets across

33,346

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,559

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Long Way Home: First Week Album Equivalent Units
kalshi

Long Way Home: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Aug 19, 2026, 3:05 PM EST - Aug 30, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$100,426
Volume 24h:
$4,786
61%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$54,216
0.34%

Above 25K

 - Kalshi

Above 25K - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 30, 2026

Time left: 03d:01h:06m

Will Long Way Home by STELLA LEFTY have above 25000 Album Equivalent Units during the August 21, 2026 - August 27, 2026 tracking week?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: 0% Illiquid market 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 25K

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$4,434
0%
373%
$2,681
3d 1h 6m
active
kalshi

Above 35K

Trade
98%
5%
Yes 100¢No 3¢
3¢
N/A
$35,076
4%
5,263%
$16,610
3d 1h 6m
active
kalshi

Above 30K

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$17,135
0%
2,359%
$13,765
3d 1h 6m
active
kalshi

Above 15K

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$2,168
0%
45%
$1,365
3d 1h 6m
active
kalshi

Above 20K

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$1,218
0%
100%
$682
3d 1h 6m
active
kalshi

Above 10K

Trade
98%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$945
0%
26%
$731
3d 1h 6m
active
kalshi

Above 5K

Trade
97%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$1,359
0%
75%
$570
3d 1h 6m
active
kalshi

Above 37K

Trade
94%
Yes 94¢No 13¢
7¢
N/A
$1,962
N/A
N/A
$1,465
3d 1h 6m
active
kalshi

Above 38K

Trade
80%
Yes 80¢No 39¢
19¢
N/A
$1,611
N/A
N/A
$1,540
3d 1h 6m
active
kalshi

Above 40K

Trade
47%
20%
Yes 51¢No 55¢
6¢
N/A
$22,573
15%
2,156%
$9,822
3d 1h 6m
active
kalshi

Above 45K

Trade
4%
Yes 6¢No 98¢
4¢
N/A
$6,583
5%
1,143%
$2,409
3d 1h 6m
active
kalshi

Above 50K

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$5,363
0.89%
775%
$2,576
3d 1h 6m
active
Total markets: 12

Description

This event tracks the performance of the album "Long Way Home" by STELLA LEFTY during a specific week in August 2026. It evaluates whether the album achieves various sales milestones, reflecting its commercial success during that period. The outcome depends on verified industry data reported after the tracking week ends.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for album equivalent units sold by STELLA LEFTY's "Long Way Home" during the U.S. tracking week of August 21, 2026, to August 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sales threshold (e.g., 5K, 10K, up to 50K units). If the album exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All outcomes are determined by data reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week. Luminate serves as the neutral data source and does not endorse or influence market outcomes. The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of the album reaching various levels of commercial success within the defined timeframe.