TOTAL VOLUME:
$66b
24H VOL:
$398,877,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
647,445,881
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,477,629,845
622,934
Markets across
14,083
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,257
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
49%
VS.
Kalshi:
51%
Intro
This market tracks the outcome of the FIFA World Cup 2026 match between Iraq and Norway on June 16, 2026. Aggregating data from Polymarket and Limitless, the consensus probability for a Norway win stands at 99.6%. The result will be determined by the official FIFA World Cup records based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Watch for any official FIFA announcements regarding match scheduling or cancellations, as the resolution date is set for June 17, 2026, the day after the scheduled match.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves a canceled match (no makeup) to YES for draw but NO for win markets. Limitless resolves all markets to NO if no official result by July 16, 2026, 22:00 UTC.Hero Tip:
Monitor for cancellation announcements from FIFA. If the match is permanently canceled with no makeup, Polymarket draw backers win while win backers lose; Limitless resolves all to NO. This creates arbitrage risk if you hold positions across both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Draw market: If game canceled entirely with no make-up, resolves YES. Win markets (Iraq/Norway): If game canceled entirely with no make-up, resolve NO. Primary source is official FIFA statistics within 2 hours of conclusion, or credible reporting consensus thereafter.Limitless:
All three markets (Draw, Iraq, Norway): If match not completed with official result by July 16, 2026, 22:00 UTC, draw resolves YES and win markets resolve NO. Applies uniform fallback deadline rather than platform-specific cancellation logic.
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, June 16, 2026 between Iraq and Norway.
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the club named in the title is winning after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties) in the match scheduled for the date shown in the title. If the club does not win or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 16, 2026, 22:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO."
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