TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?
polymarket
predict
opinion

Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Total volume:
$7,305,322
Volume 24h:
$6,640,335N/A
Liquidity:
$383,077
3%
Open interest:
$40,900N/A

$10M

 - Polymarket

$10M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?

14%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 15¢ buys you 667 shares | Odds: 14% Total Payout: $667 | Net Profit: $567 Multiplier: 6.67x | ROI: 567% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$10M

Trade
14%
4%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
1¢
$497
$22,916
0.08%
5%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
opinion

$50M

Trade
20%
Yes 32¢No 97¢
29¢
N/A
$180,485
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
active
predict

$50M

Trade
7%
Yes 7.5¢No 92.8¢
0.3¢
$39,629
$82,401
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$50M

Trade
6%
2%
Yes 6.1¢No 95¢
1.1¢
$19,148
$82,599
0.11%
2%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6.5%
Yes 15.2¢No 94.9¢
Avg: 10.1¢Max: 29¢
polymarket

$25M

Trade
5%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
2¢
$17,055
$22,103
0%
0.49%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$100M

Trade
4%
Yes 3.5¢No 96.6¢
0.1¢
$37,964
$370,090
0%
0.05%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
opinion

$100M

Trade
3%
Yes 15.5¢No 97¢
12.5¢
N/A
$74,827
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
active
polymarket

$100M

Trade
3%
Yes 2.6¢No 97.6¢
0.2¢
$19,269
$49,572
0%
0.42%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.4%
Yes 7.2¢No 97.1¢
Avg: 4.3¢Max: 12.5¢
predict

$200M

Trade
2%
Yes 2.2¢No 97.9¢
0.1¢
$102,135
$31,567
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$200M

Trade
1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.4¢
0.7¢
$728
$23,915
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
opinion

$200M

Trade
0%
Yes 99.4¢No 0.6¢
—
N/A
$430,379
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.7%
Yes 34.3¢No 66¢
Avg: 0.4¢Max: 0.7¢
opinion

$400M

Trade
3%
Yes 49.8¢No 99.9¢
49.7¢
N/A
$1,104,129
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
active
polymarket

$400M

Trade
2%
Yes 2.6¢No 98¢
0.6¢
$25,325
$56,134
0%
0.26%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
predict

$400M

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99.4¢
1.4¢
$53,416
$105,538
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.6%
Yes 18.1¢No 99.1¢
Avg: 17.2¢Max: 49.7¢
opinion

$300M

Trade
2%
Yes 2.1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$4,480,320
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
active
predict

$300M

Trade
2%
Yes 1.9¢No 98.6¢
0.5¢
$43,486
$59,319
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

$300M

Trade
2%
Yes 1.9¢No 98.8¢
0.7¢
$24,423
$129,029
0%
0.04%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.6%
Yes 2¢No 98.8¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 0.7¢
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group tracks whether Hyperbeat's token will achieve specific Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) thresholds at exactly 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its public launch. The group consists of seven binary markets at different FDV price points ($10M, $25M, $50M, $100M, $200M, $300M, $400M), all measuring the same underlying metric using total token supply multiplied by token price.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use identical resolution criteria, timing (4:00 PM ET one day after launch), calculation methodology (total supply × price), and deadline (December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET).Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source available for Hyperbeat token at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch; Hyperbeat official Twitter (@hyperbeat) for launch date confirmation.

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch
  • FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price
  • Resolution timestamp is 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch
  • Each market resolves YES if FDV exceeds its specified threshold, NO otherwise
  • If no token launches by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve NO

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Launch Definition: Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable; mere announcement or pre-launch availability does not qualify
  • Price Source Selection: If multiple exchanges list the token, the most liquid source is used; liquidity determined at resolution time
  • Supply Verification: Total token supply must be verifiable from official Hyperbeat sources or blockchain data; if supply is disputed, resolution uses the most widely accepted figure from major exchanges
  • No Launch by Deadline: If Hyperbeat does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in the group resolve NO regardless of FDV threshold
  • Timing Precision: Resolution occurs at exactly 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch; FDV snapshot is taken at this precise moment
Timing: Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Hyperbeat token launch. If no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve NO.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, 1 day after launch, the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the project's token (as specified in the market title) is greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is this CoinMarketCap 5-minute price chart with the chart set to the 24-hour (24h) range. If CoinMarketCap later modifies, backfills, or revises the historical data, this market will use the value of the data point as it was first reported by CoinMarketCap for that timestamp, ignoring any subsequent changes. If the project listed in the title does not launch a token (as defined above) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, the Hyperbeat FDV market tracks predictions about whether the fully diluted valuation of Hyperbeat will exceed a certain threshold one day after its launch. Currently, this market aggregates data from both platforms, showing a combined volume of $7,305,322 and 24-hour volume of $729. The consensus view across both venues is that the probability of this outcome varies, with Polymarket currently favoring Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch? at 14.5%, while Predict leans toward Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? at 7.4%. This dashboard provides a unified view of sentiment regarding Hyperbeat’s potential market capitalization.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd assessment of future probabilities, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than simple spot price expectations. Spot prices represent current values, while this market allows traders to express beliefs about future performance. The implied probability derived from the odds on Polymarket and Predict can be compared to analyst forecasts or other forward-looking indicators for Hyperbeat. Discrepancies may highlight areas where the market perceives information differently than traditional sources, or where traders have access to unique insights.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk appetite, leading to differing interpretations of the same information. Trading volume can also vary significantly between the two, impacting price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Predict may influence trader behavior. These differences contribute to the observed price discrepancies, creating opportunities for arbitrage and highlighting the decentralized nature of prediction markets.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the fully diluted valuation of Hyperbeat one day after its official launch, as determined by publicly available data sources. The precise valuation used will be sourced from reliable crypto data aggregators and exchanges. This ensures a transparent and objective assessment of whether the market’s prediction was accurate, and allows for fair settlement of all outstanding positions.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Jan 1, 2027. Key catalysts include announcements regarding Hyperbeat’s launch date, partnerships, or technological developments. Positive news, such as major exchange listings or successful audits, could drive up the perceived FDV and increase the probability of the outcome. Conversely, negative news, like security vulnerabilities or regulatory concerns, could lower expectations. Overall market sentiment towards crypto assets and the performance of similar projects will also play a role, as will the volume of trading activity on Polymarket and Predict.