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Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?
polymarket
predict

Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Nov 18, 2025, 6:18 PM EST - Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$994,063
Volume 24h:
$477
73%
Liquidity:
$655,826
0.51%
Open interest:
$41,868N/A

$10M

 - Polymarket

$10M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?

16%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 20¢ buys you 500 shares | Odds: 16% Total Payout: $500 | Net Profit: $400 Multiplier: 5.00x | ROI: 400% APY not meaningful 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$10M

Trade
16%
Yes 20¢No 88¢
8¢
$11,720
$16,208
1%
2%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$25M

Trade
14%
Yes 16¢No 87¢
3¢
$11,733
$18,022
0.56%
1%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$50M

Trade
13%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
$17,610
$71,616
0%
0.46%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
predict

$50M

Trade
12%
Yes 12¢No 88.9¢
0.9¢
$31,641
$79,634
0%
0.22%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
12.5%
Yes 12.5¢No 88.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
predict

$100M

Trade
6%
Yes 5.9¢No 94.3¢
0.2¢
$56,523
$367,447
0.03%
0.39%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$100M

Trade
6%
Yes 5.8¢No 94.7¢
0.5¢
$19,978
$42,619
0%
0.12%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
6%
Yes 5.9¢No 94.5¢
Avg: 0.4¢Max: 0.5¢
predict

$200M

Trade
3%
Yes 3.1¢No 97¢
0.1¢
$160,072
$31,268
0%
5%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$200M

Trade
3%
Yes 2.6¢No 97.5¢
0.1¢
$21,004
$22,181
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
3%
Yes 2.8¢No 97.2¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
predict

$300M

Trade
3%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.2¢
0.1¢
$162,337
$58,249
0%
0.67%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$300M

Trade
3%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.5¢
0.4¢
$20,542
$127,520
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
3%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.4¢
Avg: 0.3¢Max: 0.4¢
predict

$400M

Trade
3%
Yes 2.5¢No 97.6¢
0.1¢
$121,149
$103,956
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

$400M

Trade
2%
Yes 2.4¢No 97.7¢
0.1¢
$21,516
$55,342
0.08%
0.27%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2.5%
Yes 2.5¢No 97.6¢
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
Total markets: 12

Description

This event group tracks whether Hyperbeat's token will achieve specific Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) thresholds at exactly 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following its public launch. The group consists of five linked binary markets at FDV levels of $50M, $100M, $200M, $300M, and $400M, all sharing identical resolution criteria and timing.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical FDV calculation methodology, timing specification, launch qualification criteria, and deadline, with no material divergence in resolution logic.Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source available for Hyperbeat token at specified resolution time

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch
  • FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price
  • Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch
  • Market resolves Yes if FDV exceeds the specified threshold, No otherwise
  • If no token launches by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, market resolves No

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Launch Definition: Token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable; private or restricted transfers do not qualify as launch
  • Price Source Selection: If multiple exchanges list the token, the most liquid source is used to determine price at 4:00 PM ET on resolution day
  • Supply Verification: Total token supply must be verifiable from official Hyperbeat sources or blockchain records
  • Deadline Non-Launch: If Hyperbeat does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets in the group resolve to No
Timing: Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Hyperbeat token launch; if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve NoOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

The Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch? dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading volume across Polymarket and Predict, two leading crypto prediction markets. It tracks whether Hyperbeat's fully diluted valuation will exceed a specified threshold exactly one day after its public launch. The dashboard displays consensus probability across platforms, total group volume of $990,264, and 24-hour activity of $261, giving traders a unified view of market sentiment on this token's immediate post-launch valuation.

Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective belief about Hyperbeat's FDV trajectory within a narrow 24-hour window post-launch, independent of spot price alone. These odds incorporate launch hype, tokenomics, allocation structure, and early trading momentum. Spot price expectations may diverge because FDV depends on fully diluted supply, not just current circulating price. Prediction markets price in tail risks, regulatory uncertainty, and execution risk that spot markets may underweight, creating a more forward-looking and risk-adjusted view of launch-day valuation outcomes.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk tolerances. Polymarket shows 16.0% odds while Predict reflects 11.5%, a spread of 4.5 percentage points. Differences arise from varying fee structures, user bases, and information asymmetries. Some traders may have platform-specific access to Hyperbeat team insights or early metrics. Arbitrage opportunities between platforms remain limited by withdrawal friction and cross-platform trading costs, allowing temporary price divergence to persist until resolution.

The market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Outcome determination depends on Hyperbeat's verified fully diluted valuation exactly one day after its official public launch timestamp. Resolution requires confirmation of total token supply and market capitalization at that precise moment. The outcome is binary: either the FDV exceeds the specified threshold or it does not. Traders should monitor official Hyperbeat announcements for exact launch timing, as the one-day window is strictly defined from that moment forward.

Key catalysts include Hyperbeat's official launch date announcement, which triggers the one-day countdown. Pre-launch token allocation details, exchange listings, and early trading volume on DEXs will influence FDV expectations. Regulatory developments affecting the broader crypto market, competitor token launches, or major partnerships could shift sentiment. Social media momentum, influencer endorsements, and community growth metrics often drive launch-day valuations. Market-wide volatility, Bitcoin price movements, and broader altcoin sentiment also impact whether traders believe Hyperbeat will achieve the FDV threshold within its narrow 24-hour resolution window.