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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,200,781,395

338,101

Markets across

34,156

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,657

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How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
kalshi

How many launches will SpaceX have in August?

Jul 28, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Sep 7, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$810,758
Volume 24h:
$61,451
51%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$384,303
4%

Above 10

 - Kalshi

Above 10 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 7, 2026

Time left: 10d:18h:26m

How many launches will SpaceX have in Aug 2026?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: 0% Illiquid market 10 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 10

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$87,198
0%
1%
$40,030
1w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

Above 11

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$41,132
1%
28%
$20,231
1w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

Above 12

Trade
90%
2%
Yes 91¢No 10¢
1¢
N/A
$88,754
4%
44%
$34,869
1w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

Above 13

Trade
3%
2%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$201,532
25%
137%
$75,882
1w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

Above 14

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$167,427
6%
164%
$85,753
1w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

Above 15

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$134,194
5%
99%
$77,093
1w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

Above 16

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$42,029
0%
48%
$20,402
1w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

Above 18

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$33,703
1%
21%
$19,421
1w 3d 18h
active
kalshi

Above 17

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$14,788
11%
71%
$10,622
1w 3d 18h
active
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the frequency of SpaceX's spaceflight operations during a specific month, reflecting the company's operational tempo and capacity. It provides insight into how often SpaceX conducts launches, which can indicate their readiness, scheduling efficiency, and mission diversity. The outcome depends entirely on the actual number of launches executed by SpaceX in August 2026.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether SpaceX conducts more than a specified number of launches in August 2026, with each market setting a progressively higher threshold from 10 to 18 launches. If the actual number of launches exceeds any given threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same underlying data point—the total count of SpaceX launches during that month—and each threshold creates a distinct outcome based on how many launches occur relative to that specific number.