TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 27?
⌛Ending Soon
predict

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 27?

Oct 25, 2026, 1:17 AM EST - Oct 27, 2026, 8:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$6,854
Volume 24h:
$6,534N/A
Liquidity:
$3,999
42%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

30°C

 - Predict

30°C - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 27, 2026

Time left: 01h:45m:51s

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?

2%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 2¢ buys you 5,000 shares | Odds: 2% Total Payout: $5,000 | Net Profit: $4,900 Multiplier: 50.00x | ROI: 4,900% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

30°C

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
$1,248
$114
0%
N/A
N/A
1h 45m
active
predict

27°C

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$2
$3,889
0%
N/A
N/A
1h 45m
active
predict

28°C

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$4
$1,387
0%
N/A
N/A
1h 45m
active
predict

32°C

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$2
$302
0%
N/A
N/A
1h 45m
active
predict

24°C or below

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$34
$220
0%
N/A
N/A
1h 45m
active
predict

26°C

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$4
$140
0%
N/A
N/A
1h 45m
active
predict

25°C

1%
97%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$108
$100
0%
N/A
N/A
1h 45m
active
predict

29°C

95%
Yes 95¢No 5¢
—
$26
$511
0%
N/A
N/A
1h 45m
active
predict

31°C

95%
Yes 95¢No 5¢
—
$1,282
$192
0%
N/A
N/A
1h 45m
active
predict

33°C

N/A
N/A
—
$567
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1h 45m
active
predict

34°C or higher

N/A
N/A
—
$723
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1h 45m
active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Market will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.

Predict

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Market will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.