TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.5b
24H VOL:
$131,483,547
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,200,781,395
338,101
Markets across
34,156
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,657
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
飞驰人生3
- Predict
飞驰人生3 - Predict
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Will 飞驰人生3 be in the top 3 box office movies in China in 2026?
$
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
Description
This event group tracks which movie will achieve the highest gross revenue in 2026, with separate markets covering global box office performance and Chinese box office performance.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use calendar year 2026 box office data with clear tiebreaker rules, though they measure different geographic scopes (global vs China)Primary resolution logic: Box Office Mojo for global markets, Maoyan for China-specific marketsCore resolution logic:
- Global markets resolve using domestic calendar gross from Box Office Mojo for year 2026
- China markets resolve using 2026 box office rankings from Maoyan
- Global ties resolved by alphabetical order
- China ties resolved by official Maoyan ranking
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Data Availability: If final data unavailable by specified deadlines (Jan 7 2027 for global, Feb 1 2027 for China), alternative credible sources may be used
- Release Date Boundary: Only grosses from January 1 to December 31, 2026 count, regardless of release date
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Predict
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed movie is in the top 3 for movies with the highest 2026 box office in China. Box office figures outside of China, and at any time outside of 2026 will not count toward the resolution of this market. The official resolution source for this market is Maoyan (https://piaofang.maoyan.com/rankings/year). Specifically this market will resolve to the movies that rank number 1, 2 or 3 at the site with the year set to "2026", once data for December 31 is made available. In the event of any ties for exact box office figures, the rank shown on Maoyan will be used to determine the outcome. If no final data is available by February 1st, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, official sources or a consensus of credible reporting can be used.
