TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
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Tour
All
Other
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
predict
opinion
polymarket

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

Total volume:
$513,266
Volume 24h:
$105,447
560%
Liquidity:
$36,640
54%
Open interest:
$93,936N/A

December 31

all

3 markets

Predict

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?

82%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 82¢ buys you 122 shares | Odds: 82% Total Payout: $122 | Net Profit: $22 Multiplier: 1.22x | ROI: 22% | APY: 205% Low liquidity 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

December 31

Trade
82%
2%
Yes 82¢No 19¢
1¢
$793
$3,975
15%
62%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

December 31

77%
11%
Yes 78¢No 24¢
2¢
$11,566
$98,643
12%
17%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
opinion

December 31

N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
77.2%
Yes 80¢No 21.5¢
Avg: 3.3¢Max: 7¢
polymarket

December 15

75%
1%
Yes 75¢No 26¢
1¢
$3,871
$5,562
68%
N/A
N/A
1mo 2w 5d
active
polymarket

November 30

61%
8%
Yes 67¢No 46¢
13¢
$3,253
$15,858
68%
N/A
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

November 15

33%
4%
Yes 35¢No 70¢
5¢
$2,831
$73,457
1,584%
N/A
N/A
2w 5d 18h
active
predict

October 31

17%
2%
Yes 23¢No 89¢
12¢
$402
$7,108
12%
79%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

October 31

16%
4%
Yes 17¢No 85¢
2¢
$4,582
$134,612
10%
40%
N/A
4d 13h 46m
active
opinion

October 31

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
16%
Yes 20¢No 87¢
Avg: 7¢Max: 12¢
polymarket

October 23

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$4,887
$80,476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

October 23

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$42
$7,194
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
opinion

October 23

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
No
polymarket

October 16

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,337
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

October 16

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$4,401
$958
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
opinion

October 16

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 4d
No
polymarket

October 9

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

October 9

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$12
$1,590
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI general-purpose model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.