TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$141,844,315

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,993,399

484,032

Markets across

35,818

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,360

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Gold price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
kalshi

Gold price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Oct 23, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Oct 30, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$7,350
Volume 24h:
$3,166
186%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$5,567
53%

Above $3761.99

 - Kalshi

Above $3761.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 30, 2026

Time left: 03d:09h:57m

Will the gold close price be above 3761.99 USD/t.oz on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 95¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% APY not meaningful Illiquid market 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $3761.99

Trade
95%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$92
0%
N/A
$92
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $3841.99

Trade
94%
Yes 98¢No 4¢
2¢
N/A
$317
0%
N/A
$317
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $3881.99

Trade
93%
7%
Yes 94¢No 8¢
2¢
N/A
$139
2,317%
N/A
$139
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $3801.99

Trade
92%
Yes 99¢No 3¢
2¢
N/A
$10
0%
N/A
$10
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $3681.99

Trade
89%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$38
0%
N/A
$38
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $3821.99

Trade
87%
Yes 99¢No 3¢
2¢
N/A
$7
0%
N/A
$7
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $3901.99

Trade
82%
Yes 91¢No 11¢
2¢
N/A
$16
0%
N/A
$16
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $3921.99

Trade
80%
Yes 87¢No 16¢
3¢
N/A
$0
0%
N/A
$0
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $3941.99

Trade
80%
Yes 81¢No 22¢
3¢
N/A
$22
0%
N/A
$22
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $3961.99

Trade
74%
5%
Yes 74¢No 28¢
2¢
N/A
$107
580%
N/A
$93
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $4001.99

Trade
56%
9%
Yes 57¢No 45¢
2¢
N/A
$2,339
31%
N/A
$1,297
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $3981.99

Trade
54%
9%
Yes 66¢No 36¢
2¢
N/A
$602
4%
N/A
$480
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $4021.99

Trade
44%
1%
Yes 48¢No 55¢
3¢
N/A
$508
158%
N/A
$133
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $4041.99

Trade
40%
Yes 38¢No 65¢
3¢
N/A
$15
0%
N/A
$15
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $4061.99

Trade
32%
2%
Yes 29¢No 74¢
3¢
N/A
$31
179%
N/A
$31
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $4081.99

Trade
27%
Yes 22¢No 81¢
3¢
N/A
$11
0%
N/A
$11
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $4101.99

Trade
15%
5%
Yes 16¢No 87¢
3¢
N/A
$95
124%
N/A
$62
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $4121.99

Trade
14%
1%
Yes 12¢No 92¢
4¢
N/A
$83
186%
N/A
$83
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $4141.99

Trade
7%
2%
Yes 8¢No 94¢
2¢
N/A
$280
368%
N/A
$280
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $4161.99

Trade
5%
6%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
2¢
N/A
$96
141%
N/A
$96
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $4181.99

Trade
3%
4%
Yes 4¢No 98¢
2¢
N/A
$1,640
119%
N/A
$1,640
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $4201.99

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$483
0%
N/A
$288
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $4261.99

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$301
0%
N/A
$301
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $4241.99

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$22
0%
N/A
$22
3d 9h 57m
active
kalshi

Above $4281.99

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$94
0%
N/A
$94
3d 9h 57m
active
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

The event tracks gold price movements at a specific moment, focusing on whether the price exceeds various thresholds. It uses precise, real-time data from a defined trading interval to determine outcomes. The resolution depends entirely on the final price snapshot at the close of that interval.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the closing price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold at 5:00 PM EDT on October 30, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold price, and if the closing price exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' The settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places. The closing price for the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading activity from 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the exact time, the most recently available published data is used to resolve the market. All markets share these consistent secondary rules for data verification and rounding.