TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$101,900,907

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,178,729,067

335,697

Markets across

33,528

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,579

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Tour
All
Science and Technology
Gemini market share this week
kalshi

Gemini market share this week

Aug 24, 2026, 2:30 PM EST - Aug 30, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$2,295
Volume 24h:
$390N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$2,295
20%

Above 19.5%

 - Kalshi

Above 19.5% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 03d:12h:11m

Gemini market share this week?

91%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 91% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 150% 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 19.5%

Trade
91%
Yes 99¢No 12¢
11¢
N/A
$1,125
0%
N/A
$1,125
3d 12h 11m
active
kalshi

Above 18.5%

88%
20%
Yes 99¢No 10¢
N/A
$590
195%
N/A
$590
3d 12h 11m
active
kalshi

Above 20.5%

60%
Yes 97¢No 65¢
62¢
N/A
$580
0%
N/A
$580
3d 12h 11m
active
kalshi

Above 21.5%

N/A
N/A
77¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 11m
active
kalshi

Above 22.5%

N/A
N/A
92¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 11m
active
kalshi

Above 23.5%

N/A
N/A
11¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 11m
active
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks Google's weekly performance in the artificial intelligence modeling market, specifically focusing on its share of models created by authors during a defined period. The outcome depends on whether Google's share exceeds certain thresholds, reflecting its competitive position in the AI development ecosystem. Results are determined by an independent benchmark source at a set time each week.

Kalshi

If Google scores above 18.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Google scores above 19.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Google scores above 20.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Google scores above 21.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Google scores above 22.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. If Google scores above 23.5% on OpenRouter Market Share by model author week of Aug 24, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.