TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
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Other
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
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polymarket

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Sep 30, 2026, 9:04 AM EST - Jan 27, 2027, 6:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$77,938
Volume 24h:
$3,474
184%
Liquidity:
$156,551
23%
Open interest:
$17,133N/A

Pause-Hike-Pause

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 27, 2027

Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?

59%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 60¢ buys you 167 shares | Odds: 59% Total Payout: $167 | Net Profit: $67 Multiplier: 1.67x | ROI: 67% High Projected APY: 659% 92 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Pause-Hike-Pause

Trade
59%
Yes 60¢No 42¢
2¢
$15,321
$44,591
0.24%
25%
N/A
3mo 2d
active
predict

Pause-Hike-Pause

59%
Yes 61¢No 43¢
4¢
$3,602
$467
0%
285%
N/A
3mo 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
59%
Yes 60.5¢No 42.5¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
predict

Pause-Hike-Hike

17%
Yes 19¢No 85¢
4¢
$7,441
$764
0%
206%
N/A
3mo 2d
active
polymarket

Pause-Hike-Hike

16%
1%
Yes 17¢No 85¢
2¢
$17,594
$16,626
2%
14%
N/A
3mo 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
16%
Yes 18¢No 85¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

Pause-Pause-Hike

13%
Yes 15.4¢No 88.6¢
4¢
$17,568
$4,270
151%
575%
N/A
3mo 2d
active
predict

Pause-Pause-Hike

13%
Yes 15¢No 90¢
5¢
$2,169
$413
0%
N/A
N/A
3mo 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
13.4%
Yes 15.2¢No 89.3¢
Avg: 4.5¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

Pause-Pause-Pause

10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
$14,602
$1,664
5%
73%
N/A
3mo 2d
active
predict

Pause-Pause-Pause

7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$2,166
$112
0%
175%
N/A
3mo 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9.3%
Yes 8.5¢No 92.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Hike-Hike-Pause

4%
2%
Yes 4.4¢No 95.8¢
0.2¢
$19,444
$2,728
1%
231%
N/A
3mo 2d
active
predict

Hike-Hike-Pause

4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
$6,005
$32
0%
N/A
N/A
3mo 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.3%
Yes 4.2¢No 96.4¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
predict

Hike-Pause-Pause

4%
Yes 5¢No 97¢
2¢
$1,956
$391
0%
N/A
N/A
3mo 2d
active
polymarket

Hike-Pause-Pause

1%
Yes 2.4¢No 99.6¢
2¢
$7,658
$1,281
3%
36%
N/A
3mo 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 3.7¢No 98.3¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
predict

Hike-Pause-Hike

3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
$1,934
$109
0%
N/A
N/A
3mo 2d
active
polymarket

Hike-Pause-Hike

1%
Yes 1.5¢No 99.6¢
1.1¢
$10,118
$960
0.55%
18%
N/A
3mo 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.2%
Yes 2.3¢No 98.3¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 1.1¢
predict

Other

2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
$1,768
$18
0%
N/A
N/A
3mo 2d
active
polymarket

Other

1%
Yes 1.4¢No 99.7¢
1.1¢
$11,018
$1,709
0.91%
9%
N/A
3mo 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.9%
Yes 1.7¢No 99.4¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 1.1¢
predict

Hike-Hike-Hike

2%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
$5,043
$129
0%
N/A
N/A
3mo 2d
active
polymarket

Hike-Hike-Hike

1%
Yes 1¢No 99.8¢
0.8¢
$11,144
$1,675
0.31%
71%
N/A
3mo 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.7%
Yes 2¢No 99.4¢
Avg: 1.4¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 18

Description

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 27 to 28; December 8 to 9; and January 26 to 27. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Polymarket

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 27 to 28; December 8 to 9; and January 26 to 27. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Predict

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 27 to 28; December 8 to 9; and January 26 to 27. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm