TOTAL VOLUME:
$150.1b
24H VOL:
$142,857,652
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,859,322,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,733,278,615
483,990
Markets across
35,811
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,349
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
December 31, 2026
all
2 markets
Limitless
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
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This event group tracks whether Ethereum will reach a new all-time high on the Binance ETH/USDT pair by various dates in 2026. Markets are structured as sequential date checkpoints (March 31, June 30, September 30, December 31, 2026), each asking if any 1-minute candle high exceeds all prior historical highs, with observation window starting December 16, 2025 at 16:30 ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, reflect a probabilistic assessment of future events, offering a different perspective than traditional spot price expectations. Spot prices represent current market value, while this market represents the collective belief of traders regarding the likelihood of Ethereum achieving a new all-time high. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk appetites, information access, and analytical approaches. A significant difference between market odds and spot prices may signal an arbitrage opportunity or a strong conviction among market participants.
Prices on Polymarket and Limitless for the Ethereum all-time high market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, leading to differing opinions. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; higher volume on one platform can result in more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, subtle differences in the user interface or market rules between Polymarket and Limitless can influence trading behavior and, consequently, prices.
This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on whether Ethereum reaches a new all-time high price before the resolution date. The highest price Ethereum reaches will be verified against credible public sources to determine the outcome of this market. This ensures a transparent and objective assessment of whether a new all-time high was achieved.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major upgrades to the Ethereum network, such as the implementation of new scaling solutions, could boost investor confidence and drive up prices. Macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, can also influence the cryptocurrency market. Regulatory developments, both positive and negative, could create volatility. Finally, broader market sentiment and news regarding the adoption of Ethereum by institutions or developers could all contribute to shifts in the odds of this market.