TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$84,940,147

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,022,755

334,261

Markets across

33,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,574

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
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Crypto
Ethereum all time high by ___?
polymarket
limitless

Will Ethereum reach an all time high by January 1, 2027?

Total volume:
$2,413,868
Volume 24h:
$1,357
68%
Liquidity:
$123,857
0.68%
Open interest:
$260,930N/A

December 31, 2026

all

2 markets

Limitless

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Ethereum all time high by ___?: December 31, 2026

50%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
limitless

Trade on Limitless

At 99.8¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 50% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.2% | APY: 0.58% 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

December 31, 2026

Trade
50%
Yes 50.2¢No 49.8¢
99.2¢
N/A
$2,048
17%
20%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

December 31, 2026

8%
1%
Yes 8.7¢No 93.5¢
2.2¢
$55,968
$569,204
0.05%
0.44%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
29%
Yes 29.5¢No 71.7¢
Avg: 50.7¢Max: 99.2¢
limitless

September 30, 2026

2%
Yes 1.6¢No 98.5¢
1.1¢
N/A
$12,502
0%
26%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
polymarket

September 30, 2026

1%
Yes 1.5¢No 99.1¢
0.6¢
$67,889
$321,320
0.24%
3%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1.5%
Yes 1.6¢No 98.8¢
Avg: 0.9¢Max: 1.1¢
polymarket

March 31, 2026

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$1,018,200
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

June 30, 2026

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$490,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
limitless

June 30, 2026

N/A
N/A
0.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks whether Ethereum will establish a new all-time high on the Binance ETH/USDT spot pair by various dates throughout 2026. Aggregating data from Polymarket and Limitless, the leading outcome—that Ethereum reaches a new all-time high by December 31, 2026—carries a consensus probability of 4.5%, while the September 30, 2026 checkpoint stands at 2.1%. Resolution will be determined using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data, specifically the High price field. Watch the December 31, 2026 end-of-day close, which marks the final checkpoint for the year-end resolution window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: YES if any 1m candle High on Binance ETH/USDT between Dec 16, 2025 16:30 ET and the specified date's 11:59 PM ET exceeds all prior historical highs; otherwise NO.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT spot market, 1-minute candle granularity, High price field

Core resolution logic:

  • Observation window opens December 16, 2025 at 16:30 ET and closes at 11:59 PM ET on the specified date (March 31, June 30, September 30, or December 31, 2026)
  • Resolution requires checking all Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle High prices within the observation window
  • Market resolves YES if any single 1-minute candle High exceeds the maximum High price from all prior 1-minute candles in Binance history
  • Market resolves NO if no new all-time high is achieved by the deadline
  • Resolution source is exclusively Binance spot market data; other exchanges or derivatives markets are explicitly excluded

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Binance data unavailability: If Binance ETH/USDT candle data becomes inaccessible or corrupted during the observation window, resolution may be delayed or require manual adjudication by platform operators
  • Multiple ATH events: If multiple new all-time highs occur within the observation window, the market still resolves YES (binary outcome); the specific price level does not matter
  • Exact tie with prior ATH: If a candle High exactly matches but does not exceed the prior all-time high, the market resolves NO (resolution requires strictly higher, not equal)
  • Sequential market resolution: If an earlier date market (e.g., March 31) resolves YES, later date markets (June 30, September 30, December 31) will also resolve YES if the ATH persists, creating a logical cascade
Timing: Each market resolves independently at 11:59 PM ET on its specified date (March 31, June 30, September 30, or December 31, 2026). Observation window for all markets begins December 16, 2025 at 16:30 ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.