TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Crypto
Ethereum all time high by ___?
polymarket
limitless

Ethereum all time high by ___?

Dec 16, 2025, 4:59 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$2,603,339
Volume 24h:
$0
100%
Liquidity:
$74,351
47%
Open interest:
$150,241N/A

December 31, 2026

all

2 markets

Limitless

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Ethereum all time high by ___?: December 31, 2026

3%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
limitless

Trade on Limitless

At 5¢ buys you 2,000 shares | Odds: 3% Total Payout: $2,000 | Net Profit: $1,900 Multiplier: 20.00x | ROI: 1,900% APY not meaningful 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

December 31, 2026

Trade
3%
Yes 2.8¢No 97.3¢
4.5¢
N/A
$2,389
0%
0%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
polymarket

December 31, 2026

3%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.9¢
0.8¢
$74,351
$632,423
0%
0.17%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.5%
Yes 2.9¢No 97.6¢
Avg: 2.7¢Max: 4.5¢
polymarket

March 31, 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,018,200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

June 30, 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$490,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

June 30, 2026

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

September 30, 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$459,732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

September 30, 2026

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group tracks whether Ethereum will reach a new all-time high on the Binance ETH/USDT pair by various dates in 2026. Markets are structured as sequential date checkpoints (March 31, June 30, September 30, December 31, 2026), each asking if any 1-minute candle high exceeds all prior historical highs, with observation window starting December 16, 2025 at 16:30 ET.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: YES if any 1m candle High on Binance ETH/USDT between Dec 16, 2025 16:30 ET and the specified date's 11:59 PM ET exceeds all prior historical highs; otherwise NO.Primary resolution logic: Binance ETH/USDT spot market, 1-minute candle granularity, High price field

Core resolution logic:

  • Observation window opens December 16, 2025 at 16:30 ET and closes at 11:59 PM ET on the specified date (March 31, June 30, September 30, or December 31, 2026)
  • Resolution requires checking all Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle High prices within the observation window
  • Market resolves YES if any single 1-minute candle High exceeds the maximum High price from all prior 1-minute candles in Binance history
  • Market resolves NO if no new all-time high is achieved by the deadline
  • Resolution source is exclusively Binance spot market data; other exchanges or derivatives markets are explicitly excluded

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Binance data unavailability: If Binance ETH/USDT candle data becomes inaccessible or corrupted during the observation window, resolution may be delayed or require manual adjudication by platform operators
  • Multiple ATH events: If multiple new all-time highs occur within the observation window, the market still resolves YES (binary outcome); the specific price level does not matter
  • Exact tie with prior ATH: If a candle High exactly matches but does not exceed the prior all-time high, the market resolves NO (resolution requires strictly higher, not equal)
  • Sequential market resolution: If an earlier date market (e.g., March 31) resolves YES, later date markets (June 30, September 30, December 31) will also resolve YES if the ATH persists, creating a logical cascade
Timing: Each market resolves independently at 11:59 PM ET on its specified date (March 31, June 30, September 30, or December 31, 2026). Observation window for all markets begins December 16, 2025 at 16:30 ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Limitless, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on whether Ethereum will reach a new all-time high price. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $2,603,339, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates considerable interest in predicting the future price of Ethereum. The Polymarket and Limitless markets combine to give a comprehensive view of expectations surrounding the Ethereum all-time high market. The current spread between the platforms is 0.3.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, reflect a probabilistic assessment of future events, offering a different perspective than traditional spot price expectations. Spot prices represent current market value, while this market represents the collective belief of traders regarding the likelihood of Ethereum achieving a new all-time high. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk appetites, information access, and analytical approaches. A significant difference between market odds and spot prices may signal an arbitrage opportunity or a strong conviction among market participants.

Prices on Polymarket and Limitless for the Ethereum all-time high market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, leading to differing opinions. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; higher volume on one platform can result in more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, subtle differences in the user interface or market rules between Polymarket and Limitless can influence trading behavior and, consequently, prices.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on whether Ethereum reaches a new all-time high price before the resolution date. The highest price Ethereum reaches will be verified against credible public sources to determine the outcome of this market. This ensures a transparent and objective assessment of whether a new all-time high was achieved.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major upgrades to the Ethereum network, such as the implementation of new scaling solutions, could boost investor confidence and drive up prices. Macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, can also influence the cryptocurrency market. Regulatory developments, both positive and negative, could create volatility. Finally, broader market sentiment and news regarding the adoption of Ethereum by institutions or developers could all contribute to shifts in the odds of this market.