TOTAL VOLUME:

$66b

24H VOL:

$398,877,831

24H TRANSACTIONS:

647,445,881

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,477,629,845

622,934

Markets across

14,083

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,257

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

49%

VS.

Kalshi:

51%

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Ethereum all time high by ___?

Total volume:
$2,243,630
Volume 24h:
$668
67%
Liquidity:
$133,029
0.6%
Open interest:
$324,640
0%

Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

Amount

$

$20

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$100

$500

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polymarket

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At buys you 1,667 shares | Odds: 6% Total Payout: $1,667 | Net Profit: $1,567 Multiplier: 16.67x | ROI: 1,567% APY not meaningful 198 days to resolution
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Outcome
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Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
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Intro

This market tracks whether Ethereum will establish a new all-time high on the Binance ETH/USDT spot pair by specific dates throughout 2026. Across Polymarket and Limitless, the consensus probability for an Ethereum all-time high by December 31, 2026 stands at 5.5%. Resolution is determined by the Binance ETH/USDT spot market using 1-minute candle granularity, with the High price field as the reference metric. Watch the December 31, 2026 checkpoint, which marks the final observation window for whether Ethereum surpasses its previous peak during the specified trading period.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: YES if any 1m candle High on Binance ETH/USDT between Dec 16, 2025 16:30 ET and the specified date's 11:59 PM ET exceeds all prior historical highs; otherwise NO.

Primary resolution logic:

Binance ETH/USDT spot market, 1-minute candle granularity, High price field

Core resolution logic:

  • Observation window opens December 16, 2025 at 16:30 ET and closes at 11:59 PM ET on the specified date (March 31, June 30, September 30, or December 31, 2026)
  • Resolution requires checking all Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle High prices within the observation window
  • Market resolves YES if any single 1-minute candle High exceeds the maximum High price from all prior 1-minute candles in Binance history
  • Market resolves NO if no new all-time high is achieved by the deadline
  • Resolution source is exclusively Binance spot market data; other exchanges or derivatives markets are explicitly excluded

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Binance data unavailability: If Binance ETH/USDT candle data becomes inaccessible or corrupted during the observation window, resolution may be delayed or require manual adjudication by platform operators
  • Multiple ATH events: If multiple new all-time highs occur within the observation window, the market still resolves YES (binary outcome); the specific price level does not matter
  • Exact tie with prior ATH: If a candle High exactly matches but does not exceed the prior all-time high, the market resolves NO (resolution requires strictly higher, not equal)
  • Sequential market resolution: If an earlier date market (e.g., March 31) resolves YES, later date markets (June 30, September 30, December 31) will also resolve YES if the ATH persists, creating a logical cascade

Timing:

Each market resolves independently at 11:59 PM ET on its specified date (March 31, June 30, September 30, or December 31, 2026). Observation window for all markets begins December 16, 2025 at 16:30 ET.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

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