TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$141,844,315

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,993,399

484,032

Markets across

35,818

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,360

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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ERCOT Houston Hub average real-time power price (Week 44)
kalshi

ERCOT Houston Hub average real-time power price (Week 44)

Oct 23, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Oct 30, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$3,771
Volume 24h:
$1,382
4%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$913
4%

Above $20/MWh

 - Kalshi

Above $20/MWh - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 30, 2026

Time left: 03d:09h:58m

ERCOT Houston Hub average power price above $20/MWh, Week 44?

85%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 85% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% High Projected APY: 1,067% 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $20/MWh

Trade
85%
Yes 98¢No 17¢
15¢
N/A
$1,175
0%
N/A
$107
3d 9h 58m
active
kalshi

Above $30/MWh

Trade
21%
70%
Yes 69¢No 74¢
43¢
N/A
$1,325
14%
N/A
$35
3d 9h 58m
active
kalshi

Above $50/MWh

Trade
6%
Yes 88¢No 99¢
87¢
N/A
$98
0%
N/A
$98
3d 9h 58m
active
kalshi

Above $65/MWh

Trade
6%
Yes 88¢No 99¢
87¢
N/A
$98
0%
N/A
$98
3d 9h 58m
active
kalshi

Above $100/MWh

Trade
1%
Yes 14¢No 99¢
13¢
N/A
$444
0%
N/A
$315
3d 9h 58m
active
kalshi

Above $200/MWh

Trade
1%
Yes 6¢No 99¢
5¢
N/A
$353
7%
N/A
$210
3d 9h 58m
active
kalshi

Above $40/MWh

Trade
96%
95%
Yes 15¢No 98¢
13¢
N/A
$278
10%
N/A
$51
3d 9h 58m
active
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the average real-time electricity price at the ERCOT Houston Hub over a specific week, resolving based on whether the average exceeds various price thresholds. The outcome depends on grid demand, supply dynamics, and market conditions during the specified period.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether the all-hours average real-time power price at the ERCOT Houston Hub for the week ending October 30, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds ($20/MWh, $30/MWh, $40/MWh, $50/MWh, $65/MWh, $100/MWh, or $200/MWh). The average is calculated from 15-minute settlement prices over the period from October 23, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT to October 30, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT. The simple average of all applicable intervals is rounded to two decimals, with exact halves resolved away from zero; equality with any threshold resolves as 'No'. Only the first published prices are used, with later corrections considered only if accepted by the Exchange before expiration. Missing data are not filled; if at least 95% of intervals are available, they are averaged. If less than 95% are available, the outcome is resolved only if the available data conclusively determine the result; otherwise, the market settles at the Exchange's last fair price. Trading closes on October 30, 2026, at 4:59 PM EDT, and the final delivery interval is included in calculations.