TOTAL VOLUME:
$66b
24H VOL:
$398,877,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
647,445,881
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,477,629,845
622,934
Markets across
14,083
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,257
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
49%
VS.
Kalshi:
51%
England vs. Croatia
Time left: 19h:32m:12s
England vs Croatia Winner?
$
$20
$50
$100
$500
Intro
This market tracks the outcome of the England vs. Croatia FIFA World Cup soccer match scheduled for June 17, 2026, betting on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Across Limitless, Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, the consensus probability for England to win stands at 58.0%. The market resolves based on the official final score as determined by FIFA, with the resolution window closing on June 18, 2026, the day after the match concludes. Watch for any official FIFA announcements regarding match postponement or cancellation, as these scenarios carry different resolution outcomes across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and no-result handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket's Draw market uniquely resolves YES on cancellation, while Limitless conflates draw outcomes with no-result scenarios, and Kalshi/Predict provide no explicit cancellation clause.Hero Tip:
Before the match, confirm cancellation protocols with each platform. If the match is canceled with no reschedule, expect Polymarket's Draw market to resolve YES while all other outcomes resolve NO across all platforms. If postponed but eventually played, all markets remain open until official completion.Critical Divergence Points:
Limitless:
Draw market conflates draw outcomes with no-result scenarios. Resolves YES if match ends in a draw OR if no official result is published by July 17, 2026, 20:00 UTC. England and Croatia markets resolve NO if no official result by deadline.Polymarket:
Draw market uniquely resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. England and Croatia markets resolve NO on cancellation. All markets remain open if postponed but eventually played.Kalshi:
All three outcomes (England, Croatia, Tie/Draw) resolve YES only if that specific outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause; implicitly resolves NO on cancellation.Predict:
Mirrors Polymarket logic: England and Croatia resolve NO on cancellation; Draw resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up game. Markets remain open if postponed but eventually played.
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, June 17, 2026 between England and Croatia.
Kalshi
Resolution is based on the official final result of the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup match on June 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price. Extra time and penalties do not count toward resolution.
Predict
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, June 17, 2026 between England and Croatia.
Frequently asked questions
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi and Limitless operate under different regulatory frameworks, liquidity pools, and user bases, which can create temporary price gaps. Kalshi currently shows 19.0% for its top outcome, while Limitless reflects , a spread of percentage points. These differences arise from variations in order flow timing, trader risk appetite on each platform, and how each exchange's matching engine processes large trades. Arbitrage traders often exploit such gaps, but friction costs and withdrawal delays can prevent instant convergence. Monitoring both prices helps you identify mispriced outcomes before the market corrects.
The England vs. Croatia market resolves on Jun 18, 2026, following the conclusion of the match. Resolution is determined by the official final result as recorded by the governing sports authority. Markets typically settle within hours of the match end, once the outcome is confirmed and no further review is pending. Traders should monitor official match announcements and any potential delays due to disputes or technical review. After resolution, all winning positions are credited and losing positions are closed at zero value.
Key catalysts for England vs. Croatia odds include team lineups and injury announcements, especially to star players or goalkeepers. Recent form, head-to-head records, and qualifying-round performance can shift trader conviction. Weather conditions at the venue, referee assignments, and pre-match media narratives often trigger repricing. Major betting syndicates or institutional traders entering the market can move prices sharply. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, and betting exchange volume spikes may signal incoming moves. Monitor official team statements, sports news outlets, and on-chain transaction volume on Kalshi and Limitless for early signals of shifting consensus before Jun 18, 2026.
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