TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.5b
24H VOL:
$115,807,555
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,188,566,556
336,771
Markets across
33,711
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,629
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
The Pitt
- Kalshi
The Pitt - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolves Sep 15, 2026
Time left: 18d:10h:16m
Will The Pitt win Drama Series at the Emmy Awards?
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Intro
This market tracks whether The Pitt will claim the Outstanding Drama Series award at the 78th Emmy Awards. On Kalshi, The Pitt holds a leading probability of 71.0%, with Pluribus at 25.0%. The resolution will be determined by the official Emmy Awards results as the authoritative source. Traders should monitor the 78th Emmy Awards ceremony on September 15, 2026, when the Outstanding Drama Series winner will be announced and the market will settle.
Kalshi
If The Pitt has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pluribus has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Slow Horses has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Diplomat has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Task has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paradise has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Euphoria has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Gilded Age has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stranger Things has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Morning Show has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Industry has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Testaments has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie has won Outstanding Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst predictions and industry forecasts for Emmy Award for Drama Series. While analysts rely on critical acclaim, voting patterns, and historical precedent, prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from a broad base of participants, sometimes surfacing contrarian views or undervalued candidates. Comparing Kalshi odds to published predictions from entertainment journalists and Emmy experts can reveal where the market is more bullish or bearish than conventional wisdom. This gap often narrows as the Sep 15, 2026 resolution date approaches and new information emerges.
On Kalshi, Emmy Award for Drama Series outcomes are priced as binary contracts reflecting the implied probability of each nominee winning. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently trades at 93.0% chance, with volume of $61,741 across all related contracts. Prices fluctuate based on new episodes, critical reception, awards-season momentum, and betting flow. You can buy or sell shares at the current market price, and your position settles based on the actual Emmy Award winner. Kalshi's order book and real-time pricing allow traders to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
The Emmy Award for Drama Series market resolves on Sep 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official Emmy Award winner announced at the ceremony. Once the winner is declared, the corresponding contract settles to 100 and all other outcomes settle to zero. Traders holding the winning contract receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The market will close to new trading shortly before the announcement to prevent information leakage.
Several catalysts can shift Emmy Award for Drama Series odds before Sep 15, 2026. New episodes or season finales may boost or damage a show's critical standing. Awards from precursor ceremonies like the Golden Globes or SAG Awards often influence Emmy voting sentiment. Industry news, casting changes, or production announcements can alter perceptions of quality. Voting bloc endorsements or public campaigns by networks and studios may sway the market. Unexpected critical reviews, viral moments, or shifts in voter demographics can also trigger repricing. Real-time trading volume and sentiment on Kalshi will reflect these developments as they unfold.
