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Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026
kalshi

Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026

Jun 9, 2026, 6:17 PM EST - Jan 31, 2028, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$138,013
Volume 24h:
$14
100%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$39,366
0.03%

Above 97.2 million

 - Kalshi

Above 97.2 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 31, 2028

Will Carnival Corporation report Above 97.2 million available lower berth days in 2026?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 97¢ buys you 103 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $103 | Net Profit: $3 Multiplier: 1.03x | ROI: 3% | APY: 2% 461 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 97.2 million

Trade
99%
Yes 97¢No 4¢
1¢
N/A
$7,941
0%
0%
$2,587
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 97 million

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$3,493
0%
0%
$2,271
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 97.1 million

Trade
98%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$11,262
0%
0%
$2,239
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 97.3 million

Trade
92%
Yes 92¢No 9¢
1¢
N/A
$16,624
0.05%
0.13%
$4,711
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 97.5 million

Trade
8%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
1¢
N/A
$11,661
0%
2%
$2,109
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 97.4 million

Trade
6%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
1¢
N/A
$20,549
0%
0%
$4,430
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 97.7 million

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$5,572
0.02%
5%
$3,208
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 97.8 million

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$4,984
0.02%
5%
$2,603
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 97.6 million

Trade
5%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$10,438
0%
33%
$2,679
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 98 million

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$12,104
0.01%
0.01%
$2,317
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 98.1 million

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$16,511
0.01%
0.01%
$7,284
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 97.9 million

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$7,844
0.01%
0.01%
$1,523
1y 3mo
active
kalshi

Above 98.2 million

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$9,031
0.01%
9%
$1,405
1y 3mo
active
Total markets: 13

Description

Carnival Corporation's cruise line capacity in 2026, measured by the total available passenger berth capacity across its fleet of cruise ships.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by Carnival Corporation's reported available lower berth days for 2026. The event establishes resolution thresholds in 100,000-unit increments, ranging from 97 million to 98.2 million available lower berth days. Each threshold functions as an independent resolution criterion—if Carnival's reported available lower berth days exceed any specified threshold, that market resolves affirmatively. Resolution will be based on Carnival Corporation's official financial reports and disclosed capacity metrics for the 2026 fiscal year.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, there are no widely available analyst forecasts directly comparable to the specific question posed by this market. However, general cruise industry forecasts regarding capacity growth and demand for 2026 could offer a point of comparison. If analysts predict strong demand and limited new ship deployments, their outlook would align with a higher number of available lower berth days. Conversely, forecasts anticipating increased capacity or softening demand would suggest a lower number. It’s important to note that this market reflects the collective prediction of traders, offering a different perspective than traditional analysis.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders, and the market price adjusts based on supply and demand. Essentially, the price reflects the collective belief of participants regarding the probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out based on the actual number of available lower berth days reported by Carnival Corporation in 2026. Higher prices signify greater confidence in a particular outcome.

This market resolves around Jan 31, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the total number of available lower berth days reported by Carnival Corporation for the calendar year 2026. This figure will be sourced from official Carnival Corporation filings and announcements, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. The market will then pay out to participants based on whether the actual number falls within the ranges defined by the different market outcomes.

Several factors could significantly impact the Carnival Cruise availability market. Major announcements from Carnival Corporation regarding ship deployments, new builds, or capacity adjustments would be key catalysts. Broader economic indicators, such as consumer spending and travel trends, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected events like geopolitical instability or major weather events impacting cruise destinations could also shift the market. Finally, any news regarding Carnival’s financial performance or strategic direction could lead to price movements as traders reassess the likelihood of various outcomes.