TOTAL VOLUME:
$66b
24H VOL:
$398,877,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
647,445,881
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,477,629,845
622,934
Markets across
14,083
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,257
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
49%
VS.
Kalshi:
51%
Brazil vs. Haiti
Time left: 02d:23h:02m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
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Intro
This market tracks the outcome of the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup soccer match scheduled for June 19, 2026. Aggregating predictions from Polymarket, Limitless, Predict, and Kalshi, the consensus probability that Brazil wins is 89.0%. Resolution is determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch for the match kickoff on June 19, 2026, as the actual game result will determine final settlement across all platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Three critical divergences exist: (1) Scheduled date mismatch between platforms (June 19 vs June 20, 2026), (2) Conflicting cancellation logic for draw outcomes (Polymarket/Predict resolve YES on cancellation; Limitless resolves NO), and (3) Kalshi's outcome-agnostic resolution logic differs fundamentally from binary win/loss logic on other platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across platforms without confirming the official FIFA match date. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket and Predict draw markets will resolve opposite to Limitless draw markets, creating arbitrage risk. Kalshi's structure (all outcomes resolve YES if match happens) is incompatible with the binary win/loss structure elsewhere and may create settlement confusion.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Brazil win and Haiti win resolve NO if canceled with no makeup; draw resolves YES if canceled. Scheduled June 19, 2026. Primary source: FIFA official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.Limitless:
All three outcomes (Brazil, Haiti, Draw) resolve NO if no official result by July 20, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Scheduled June 20, 2026 (one-day discrepancy). Draw resolves YES only if match ends in draw within 90+stoppage time.Kalshi:
All three outcomes (Haiti win, Brazil win, Tie) resolve YES if the match occurs and produces an official result within 90+stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause. Scheduled June 19, 2026. Outcome-agnostic structure differs from binary win/loss markets.Predict:
Brazil win and Haiti win resolve NO if canceled with no makeup; draw resolves YES if canceled. Scheduled June 19, 2026. Primary source: FIFA official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion. Identical logic to Polymarket.
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Friday, June 19, 2026 between Brazil and Haiti.
Kalshi
The Brazil vs Haiti professional FIFA World Cup soccer match scheduled for June 19, 2026 will be evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Resolution is based on the final score at the end of regulation play. If the match ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Predict
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Friday, June 19, 2026 between Brazil and Haiti.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Limitless operate independently from traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different participant bases and incentive structures. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, prediction markets aggregate decentralized trader beliefs with real financial stakes. Brazil vs. Haiti odds on Kalshi and Limitless may diverge from major sportsbooks due to differences in liquidity depth, regulatory constraints, and the speed at which each venue incorporates new information. Comparing prediction market consensus to sportsbook lines can reveal arbitrage opportunities and validate whether market-implied probabilities align with professional sports betting consensus.
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi and Limitless serve distinct user bases with different risk tolerances, trading strategies, and access patterns. Kalshi operates under U.S. regulatory oversight with specific contract designs, while Polymarket operates globally with different liquidity pools. Brazil vs. Haiti pricing gaps emerge from variations in order-book depth, funding costs, and the timing of large trades on each platform. Geographic and regulatory arbitrage, combined with differences in how each platform's community weights team form and injury news, can create temporary spreads. These differences typically narrow as resolution approaches and informed traders exploit mispricings.
The Brazil vs. Haiti market resolves on Jun 21, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final result of the match, including any extra time or penalty shootout if applicable. Kalshi and Limitless each follow their own settlement protocols to confirm the outcome and distribute winnings to correct position holders. Traders should monitor official match reports and platform announcements as the event concludes to ensure accurate settlement. Any disputes or postponements may affect resolution timing, so check platform notifications for updates.
Brazil vs. Haiti odds will shift based on team news, including player injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions at the venue influence trader sentiment. Major roster updates or coaching decisions can trigger rapid repricing across Kalshi and Limitless. Live match developments—early goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments—drive intra-match volatility if markets remain open. Aggregate market volume and the direction of large trades signal whether professional bettors are shifting conviction. Monitor sports news feeds and platform activity to anticipate momentum shifts in Brazil vs. Haiti pricing.
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