This market tracks whether Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high on the Binance BTC/USDT spot market by specific dates throughout 2026. Across Polymarket and Limitless, the leading outcome—Bitcoin achieving an all-time high by December 31, 2026—stands at 7.5%, with a secondary outcome also at 7.0%. Resolution is determined by the Binance BTC/USDT spot market's 1-minute candle 'High' prices. Watch the resolution window closing on December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, which marks the final opportunity for Bitcoin to exceed its prior historical high and settle this outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Limitless share identical resolution criteria, source (Binance BTC/USDT 1m candles), observation window (16 Dec 2025 10:30 AM ET to 11:59 PM ET on settlement date), and YES/NO logic (new ATH vs. no new ATH).

Primary resolution logic:

Binance BTC/USDT spot market, 1-minute candle 'High' prices accessible at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with '1m' and 'Candles' selected.

Core resolution logic:

YES: Any 1-minute candle 'High' price on the settlement date (from 10:30 AM ET onward through 11:59 PM ET) exceeds the maximum 'High' price of all prior 1-minute candles in Binance BTC/USDT history.
NO: No 1-minute candle 'High' price on the settlement date exceeds the historical maximum 'High' price.
Resolution applies only to Binance BTC/USDT spot market data; other exchanges or derivatives markets are excluded.
Observation window begins 16 December 2025 10:30 AM ET; all prior candles (before this timestamp) establish the baseline for ATH comparison.

Edge cases & Clarifications:

Exact tie with prior ATH: If a candle 'High' equals but does not exceed the prior ATH, resolution is NO. The criterion requires a strictly higher price.
Multiple new ATHs on settlement date: If multiple candles on the settlement date exceed the prior ATH, the market still resolves YES (only one new ATH is required).
Data unavailability or exchange outage: Not explicitly addressed in either platform's description. If Binance data is unavailable or corrupted on the settlement date, resolution methodology is undefined; escalation to platform dispute resolution may be required.
Timezone edge case: All times are specified in ET (Eastern Time). Traders must ensure correct timezone conversion; Binance timestamps are in UTC and must be converted to ET for accurate window identification.

Timing:

Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each settlement date (March 31, 2026; June 30, 2026; September 30, 2026; December 31, 2026). Observation window for each market begins 16 December 2025 10:30 AM ET and extends through 11:59 PM ET on the specified settlement date.

Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.16.4PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Bitcoin all time high by ___?