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483,990

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Bitcoin all time high by ___?
polymarket
limitless

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Dec 16, 2025, 10:55 AM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$10,514,659
Volume 24h:
$4,418
76,475%
Liquidity:
$84,575
81%
Open interest:
$651,075N/A

December 31, 2026

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

4%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 3.6¢ buys you 2,778 shares | Odds: 4% Total Payout: $2,778 | Net Profit: $2,678 Multiplier: 27.78x | ROI: 2,678% APY not meaningful 65 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31, 2026

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 3.6¢No 96.6¢
0.2¢
$84,575
$1,852,606
0.36%
0.47%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
limitless

December 31, 2026

Trade
4%
45%
Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢
2¢
N/A
$1,178
0%
34%
N/A
2mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.5%
Yes 3.6¢No 96.6¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

March 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,926,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,006,537
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

June 30, 2026

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
polymarket

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,727,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

September 30, 2026

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 5d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group tracks whether Bitcoin will achieve a new all-time high (ATH) on the Binance BTC/USDT spot market by various dates in 2026. Resolution requires a 1-minute candle 'High' price exceeding all prior historical highs, measured from December 16, 2025 10:30 AM ET onward on the specified settlement date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Limitless share identical resolution criteria, source (Binance BTC/USDT 1m candles), observation window (16 Dec 2025 10:30 AM ET to 11:59 PM ET on settlement date), and YES/NO logic (new ATH vs. no new ATH).Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT spot market, 1-minute candle 'High' prices accessible at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with '1m' and 'Candles' selected.

Core resolution logic:

  • YES: Any 1-minute candle 'High' price on the settlement date (from 10:30 AM ET onward through 11:59 PM ET) exceeds the maximum 'High' price of all prior 1-minute candles in Binance BTC/USDT history.
  • NO: No 1-minute candle 'High' price on the settlement date exceeds the historical maximum 'High' price.
  • Resolution applies only to Binance BTC/USDT spot market data; other exchanges or derivatives markets are excluded.
  • Observation window begins 16 December 2025 10:30 AM ET; all prior candles (before this timestamp) establish the baseline for ATH comparison.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact tie with prior ATH: If a candle 'High' equals but does not exceed the prior ATH, resolution is NO. The criterion requires a strictly higher price.
  • Multiple new ATHs on settlement date: If multiple candles on the settlement date exceed the prior ATH, the market still resolves YES (only one new ATH is required).
  • Data unavailability or exchange outage: Not explicitly addressed in either platform's description. If Binance data is unavailable or corrupted on the settlement date, resolution methodology is undefined; escalation to platform dispute resolution may be required.
  • Timezone edge case: All times are specified in ET (Eastern Time). Traders must ensure correct timezone conversion; Binance timestamps are in UTC and must be converted to ET for accurate window identification.
Timing: Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each settlement date (March 31, 2026; June 30, 2026; September 30, 2026; December 31, 2026). Observation window for each market begins 16 December 2025 10:30 AM ET and extends through 11:59 PM ET on the specified settlement date.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Limitless, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on whether the Bitcoin all-time high will be surpassed by Jan 1, 2027. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $10,514,659, with $6,616 traded in the last 24 hours. The Polymarket currently shows a 3.5% chance of the outcome occurring, while Limitless indicates 3.5%. This provides a comprehensive overview of the market's sentiment regarding the future price of Bitcoin, combining insights from multiple prediction markets into the Bitcoin all-time high market.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, reflect a crowd-sourced assessment of future probabilities, often incorporating information not immediately apparent in spot prices. Spot prices represent the current cost of Bitcoin, while this market represents what traders believe is the likelihood of a new all-time high. Discrepancies can arise from factors like risk aversion, speculative bubbles, or differing interpretations of macroeconomic conditions. A significant difference between market odds and spot price expectations could signal an undervalued or overvalued asset, providing potential trading opportunities.

Prices on Polymarket and Limitless for this market may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk tolerances and information sets, leading to differing opinions on the probability of Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high. Trading volume and liquidity can also vary significantly between the two platforms, impacting price discovery. Furthermore, subtle differences in market mechanics or user interface design might influence trading behavior and contribute to price discrepancies. These factors create a dynamic interplay between the two markets.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Bitcoin’s price has reached a new all-time high before the specified date. The market will determine if the highest price recorded for Bitcoin during the period leading up to Jan 1, 2027 surpasses its previous all-time high. Traders should monitor reputable cryptocurrency exchanges and financial news sources for confirmation of the outcome.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major macroeconomic announcements, such as interest rate decisions or inflation reports, often influence Bitcoin’s price. Regulatory developments, like the approval of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), could also trigger substantial price movements. Unexpected geopolitical events or significant technological advancements in the cryptocurrency space could also play a role. Furthermore, large-scale adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors or major corporations could drive up demand and influence the market’s trajectory.