TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.6b

24H VOL:

$136,531,341

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,197,913,311

339,027

Markets across

34,284

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Bitcoin all time high by ___?
polymarket
limitless

Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by January 1, 2027?

Total volume:
$9,784,932
Volume 24h:
$11,128
71%
Liquidity:
$195,823
25%
Open interest:
$967,860N/A

December 31, 2026

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

12%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 12.9¢ buys you 775 shares | Odds: 12% Total Payout: $775 | Net Profit: $675 Multiplier: 7.75x | ROI: 675% APY not meaningful 126 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

December 31, 2026

Trade
12%
Yes 12.9¢No 89.9¢
2.8¢
$72,236
$1,736,060
0.22%
4%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
limitless

December 31, 2026

Trade
8%
5%
Yes 8.2¢No 91.8¢
5.6¢
N/A
$864
137%
227%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
10%
Yes 10.6¢No 90.9¢
Avg: 4.2¢Max: 5.6¢
polymarket

September 30, 2026

Trade
1%
Yes 1.7¢No 99¢
0.7¢
$123,587
$1,105,214
0.62%
3%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
limitless

September 30, 2026

Trade
1%
Yes 1.3¢No 98.7¢
2.2¢
N/A
$9,752
0%
582%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1%
Yes 1.5¢No 98.9¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2.2¢
polymarket

March 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,926,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,006,537
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
limitless

June 30, 2026

View
N/A
N/A
1.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin will establish a new all-time high on the Binance BTC/USDT spot market by specific dates throughout 2026. The consensus probability aggregated across Polymarket and Limitless shows a 6.0% chance Bitcoin reaches an all-time high by December 31, 2026, with a 1.7% probability for the September 30, 2026 deadline. Resolution is determined by the highest 1-minute candle price on Binance's BTC/USDT spot market. Watch the resolution window closing on December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, which marks the final opportunity for Bitcoin to exceed its prior historical high under this contract's terms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Limitless share identical resolution criteria, source (Binance BTC/USDT 1m candles), observation window (16 Dec 2025 10:30 AM ET to 11:59 PM ET on settlement date), and YES/NO logic (new ATH vs. no new ATH).Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT spot market, 1-minute candle 'High' prices accessible at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with '1m' and 'Candles' selected.

Core resolution logic:

  • YES: Any 1-minute candle 'High' price on the settlement date (from 10:30 AM ET onward through 11:59 PM ET) exceeds the maximum 'High' price of all prior 1-minute candles in Binance BTC/USDT history.
  • NO: No 1-minute candle 'High' price on the settlement date exceeds the historical maximum 'High' price.
  • Resolution applies only to Binance BTC/USDT spot market data; other exchanges or derivatives markets are excluded.
  • Observation window begins 16 December 2025 10:30 AM ET; all prior candles (before this timestamp) establish the baseline for ATH comparison.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact tie with prior ATH: If a candle 'High' equals but does not exceed the prior ATH, resolution is NO. The criterion requires a strictly higher price.
  • Multiple new ATHs on settlement date: If multiple candles on the settlement date exceed the prior ATH, the market still resolves YES (only one new ATH is required).
  • Data unavailability or exchange outage: Not explicitly addressed in either platform's description. If Binance data is unavailable or corrupted on the settlement date, resolution methodology is undefined; escalation to platform dispute resolution may be required.
  • Timezone edge case: All times are specified in ET (Eastern Time). Traders must ensure correct timezone conversion; Binance timestamps are in UTC and must be converted to ET for accurate window identification.
Timing: Resolution occurs at 11:59 PM ET on each settlement date (March 31, 2026; June 30, 2026; September 30, 2026; December 31, 2026). Observation window for each market begins 16 December 2025 10:30 AM ET and extends through 11:59 PM ET on the specified settlement date.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.