TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$149,897,520
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,214,596,905
340,805
Markets across
34,373
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,679
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Dee Valladares
- Kalshi
Dee Valladares - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother Season 28?
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Intro
This market tracks whether Dee Valladares will be crowned the winner of Big Brother Season 28. On Kalshi, Dee Valladares holds a 14.0% probability of winning, while Barrett Pfeiffer follows at 11.0%. The market resolves based on the official declaration by Big Brother Season 28 producers during the finale episode. Watch for the season finale broadcast, scheduled by the end of 2026, when the show's producers will officially announce the winner to viewers.
Kalshi
Resolution is based on the official announcement of the Big Brother Season 28 winner during the finale or via official channels immediately following. The winner must be officially declared by the show; if no winner is announced, all markets resolve to No. In the event of multiple joint winners, each resolves to Yes with payouts split equally. A houseguest who declines the prize still counts as a winner unless acceptance was an explicit condition of victory. Disqualifications or withdrawals occurring before the finale result in No resolution. Later title stripping or revocation does not affect the original resolution—only the announcement made at the finale governs. Secondary awards such as fan favorite do not qualify as the main winner. For team or couples competitions, being part of the winning unit counts as winning.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they incorporate real-money incentives and live trader activity rather than editorial opinion alone. While analysts may rely on historical Big Brother patterns and contestant backgrounds, this market aggregates the views of many participants constantly reassessing odds based on gameplay, alliances, and public voting trends. Markets tend to react faster to dramatic twists or eliminations, sometimes pricing in outcomes before mainstream media consensus catches up, making them a complementary data source for understanding contestant viability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each potential winner. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices reflect the collective willingness of participants to bet on a given houseguest, with higher prices indicating stronger perceived chances of victory. As new information emerges—eliminations, competition results, or shifts in viewer sentiment—traders adjust their positions, and prices move to reflect updated probabilities in real time.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, once the Big Brother Season 28 finale concludes and the winner is officially announced. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources documenting the final result. Until that date, odds will continue to shift based on eliminations, competition outcomes, and other developments that influence each contestant's path to the prize.
Major events that could shift odds include surprise eliminations, unexpected competition victories, dramatic alliance shifts, and public voting patterns revealed during live episodes. Contestant injuries, rule violations, or controversial moments often trigger sharp repricing as traders reassess viability. Media coverage, social media sentiment, and viewer engagement metrics can also influence perception of a houseguest's winning chances. Each week's competitions and evictions provide fresh data that traders use to recalibrate their positions in this market.
