TOTAL VOLUME:
$66b
24H VOL:
$398,877,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
647,445,881
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,477,629,845
622,934
Markets across
14,083
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,257
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
49%
VS.
Kalshi:
51%
Austria vs. Jordan
Time left: 03h:33m:10s
Austria vs Jordan Winner?
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Intro
This market tracks the outcome of the Austria vs. Jordan FIFA World Cup soccer match scheduled for June 17, 2026. Across Polymarket, Limitless, Predict, and Kalshi, the consensus probability for an Austria victory stands at 70.0%, with resolution determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Watch for any fixture postponements or cancellations announced before June 17, 2026, as these may trigger different resolution pathways across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Three platforms (Polymarket, Limitless, Predict) show conflicting cancellation logic for the draw outcome, and Limitless uses a different scheduled date (June 16 vs June 17). Kalshi provides incomplete cancellation guidance.Hero Tip:
Before trading, confirm the official FIFA World Cup match date and time. If you hold a draw position on Polymarket, note that cancellation triggers a YES resolution—this is opposite to Austria/Jordan win markets on the same platform. Monitor each platform's official communications for cancellation policy clarification.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Draw market resolves YES if match is canceled with no make-up game; Austria and Jordan win markets resolve NO if canceled. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw) vs '"No"' (win markets).Limitless:
Markets titled June 16, 2026 but use July 16, 2026, 04:00 UTC as final resolution deadline. No explicit cancellation clause; defaults to NO if no official result by deadline. Quote: 'or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 16, 2026, 04:00 UTC'.Predict:
Identical to Polymarket: draw resolves YES on cancellation; Austria/Jordan win resolve NO on cancellation. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw).Kalshi:
All three outcome markets (Tie, Austria, Jordan) resolve YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No cancellation clause provided; logic is incomplete.
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, June 17, 2026 between Austria and Jordan.
Kalshi
The Austria vs Jordan FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 17, 2026, resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed within two weeks, the market remains open until the rescheduled match concludes.
Predict
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, June 17, 2026 between Austria and Jordan.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect real-time crowd sentiment and are updated continuously by traders, whereas traditional sportsbook odds are set by oddsmakers and adjusted less frequently. Prediction markets like Kalshi and Limitless often incorporate breaking news and late-developing information faster than sportsbooks. For Austria vs. Jordan, comparing these sources can reveal whether professional bookmakers or decentralized traders are pricing in different risk factors, injury reports, or tactical adjustments closer to match day.
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can create temporary price gaps. Kalshi shows 11.0% while Limitless reflects , a spread of percentage points. Differences may stem from varying order-book depth, regional user bases, or how quickly each platform's community reacts to pre-match news. Arbitrage traders often exploit these gaps, gradually aligning prices across venues.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to star players, recent form and head-to-head records, weather conditions on match day, and tactical adjustments revealed in pre-match press conferences. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move markets in the 24–48 hours before kickoff. Political or travel disruptions, referee assignments, and late-breaking news from either federation can also shift probabilities. Monitor sports news and team social media for these signals.
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