TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.5b
24H VOL:
$149,897,520
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,214,596,905
340,805
Markets across
34,373
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,679
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Above 22M
- Kalshi
Above 22M - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Sep 1, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Time left: 04d:16h:38m
Will Ariana Grande have above 22M daily views at any point during August 2026?
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Description
This event group focuses on determining whether Ariana Grande achieved specific daily YouTube view count thresholds during the week of August 17 - 23, 2026. The markets will resolve based on the highest single-day global view count recorded for her during that week.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets resolve based on the same underlying data point: the highest single-day global YouTube view count for Ariana Grande during August 17 - 23, 2026, sourced from YouTube Charts.Primary resolution logic: YouTube Charts (https://charts.youtube.com/artist/%2Fm%2F09gkdy4)Core resolution logic:
- The highest daily view count is the largest total views recorded on any single day within August 17 - 23, 2026
- Only global view counts are considered; regional/country-specific figures are excluded
- Views are attributed to Ariana Grande regardless of channel, including featured/credited contributions
- If reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher range bracket
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Exact Bracket Boundary: If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets (e.g., 14.5M for 14M-15M bracket), the market resolves to the higher range bracket
- Data Availability: Resolution occurs at the earliest point that all figures for the specified week are available, or the seventh day after the final day of the week (August 23, 2026), 11:59 PM ET, whichever is earlier. If no figures are available by the seventh day, the market resolves to the lowest bracket
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the highest single-day global YouTube view count for Ariana Grande during the week of August 17 - 23, 2026. The highest daily view count refers to the largest total views recorded on any single day within the specified week. View counts from multiple days will not be combined. Only global view counts will be used. Regional and country-specific figures will not be used. This market will resolve according to the figures attributed to the specified artist by the resolution source, regardless of which channel the views occurred on. If the resolution source attributes views to the specified artist for a video on which the specified artist is a featured or credited contributor, those views will count. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to the available figures at either (i) the earliest point that all figures for the specified week are available, or (ii) the seventh day after the final day of the specified week, 11:59 PM ET, whichever is earlier. If no figures are available for the specified week by the seventh day after the final day of the specified week, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the daily global view counts published on YouTube Charts (https://charts.youtube.com/artist/%2Fm%2F09gkdy4).
Kalshi
These markets resolve based on whether Ariana Grande achieves specific thresholds of global daily views on YouTube during any day in August 2026. Each market corresponds to a different view count threshold, ranging from above 15 million to above 25 million views. All markets share the same verification process: the official YouTube Charts will be consulted to determine the artist's global daily view count for each day in August 2026. If, on any single day, the view count exceeds the threshold specified for a given market, that market resolves to Yes. The verification relies solely on the data presented in the YouTube Charts for the artist when searching under the 'Global' location filter. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others; each threshold is evaluated separately. Importantly, neither YouTube nor any associated entities have endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube are used descriptively only.