TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.6b

24H VOL:

$124,291,538

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,192,009,184

337,556

Markets across

34,185

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,362

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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America's Got Talent S21: Who Advances from Quarterfinals?
polymarket
kalshi

America's Got Talent S21: Who Advances from Quarterfinals?

Total volume:
$195,904
Volume 24h:
$62,081
4%
Liquidity:
$6,691
99%
Open interest:
$129,701
48%

Unitree

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 24, 2026

Time left: 20d:00h:48m

Will Unitree advance to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 20% Low liquidity 20 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Unitree

Trade
99%
1%
Yes 99¢No 74¢
73¢
$10
$380
0%
0%
N/A
2w 6d
active
kalshi

Unitree

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$3,694
61%
401%
$2,656
3w 6d 14h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
50%
Yes 50.5¢No 86.5¢
Avg: 37¢Max: 73¢
polymarket

Guy Kelton Jones I

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$2
$20
0%
0%
N/A
2w 6d
active
kalshi

Guy Kelton Jones I

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3,747
54%
215%
$2,998
3w 6d 14h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
50%
Yes 50¢No 99.5¢
Avg: 49.5¢Max: 98¢
polymarket

Elsie

Trade
97%
2%
Yes 97¢No 99¢
96¢
$2
$266
0%
0%
N/A
2w 6d
active
kalshi

Elsie

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,517
94%
2,697%
$2,297
3w 6d 14h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
49%
Yes 49¢No 99.5¢
Avg: 48.5¢Max: 96¢
polymarket

Cameron Logsdon

Trade
97%
2%
Yes 97¢No 90¢
87¢
$6
$140
0%
0%
N/A
2w 6d
active
kalshi

Cameron Logsdon

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,518
94%
2,697%
$2,297
3w 6d 14h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
49%
Yes 49¢No 95¢
Avg: 44¢Max: 87¢
polymarket

Lai Noelle

Trade
95%
1%
Yes 95¢No 74¢
69¢
$11
$1,677
0%
6%
N/A
2w 6d
active
kalshi

Lai Noelle

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$3,579
42%
259%
$3,504
3w 6d 14h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
48.5%
Yes 49¢No 86¢
Avg: 35¢Max: 69¢
polymarket

Cesar Dias

Trade
90%
Yes 90¢No 99¢
89¢
$7
$230
0%
0%
N/A
2w 6d
active
kalshi

Cesar Dias

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,564
91%
2,749%
$2,297
3w 6d 14h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
45.5%
Yes 45.5¢No 99.5¢
Avg: 45¢Max: 89¢
polymarket

Rubén Roldán Bustos

Trade
90%
25%
Yes 90¢No 96¢
86¢
$16
$230
10%
13%
N/A
2w 6d
active
kalshi

Rubén Roldán

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$4,223
34%
157%
$3,147
3w 6d 14h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
45.5%
Yes 46¢No 97.5¢
Avg: 43.5¢Max: 86¢
polymarket

Akira

Trade
89%
3%
Yes 89¢No 78¢
67¢
$22
$1,146
0%
0%
N/A
2w 6d
active
kalshi

Akira

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,731
81%
2,935%
$2,297
3w 6d 14h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
45%
Yes 45¢No 89¢
Avg: 34¢Max: 67¢
kalshi

Nene Royal

Trade
70%
24%
Yes 69¢No 32¢
1¢
N/A
$34,236
64%
3,740%
$23,783
3w 6d 14h
active
polymarket

Nene Royal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,304
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 6d
Yes
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
85%
Yes 84.5¢No 16.1¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Lara D

Trade
58%
1%
Yes 58¢No 54¢
12¢
$30
$182
0%
12%
N/A
2w 6d
active
kalshi

Lara D

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$4,560
30%
260%
$3,990
3w 6d 14h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
30%
Yes 30.5¢No 76¢
Avg: 6.5¢Max: 12¢
polymarket

Isaac Atkins

Trade
52%
Yes 54¢No 50¢
4¢
$43
$223
0%
37%
N/A
2w 6d
active
kalshi

Isaac Atkins

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,473
98%
5,395%
$2,297
3w 6d 14h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
26.5%
Yes 27.5¢No 75¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

Bird & Byron

Trade
33%
Yes 32.5¢No 98.9¢
31.4¢
$46
$984
0%
0%
N/A
2w 6d
active
kalshi

Bird and Byron

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,509
75%
2,688%
$2,297
3w 6d 14h
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
17%
Yes 16.8¢No 99.4¢
Avg: 16.2¢Max: 31.4¢
polymarket

Kameron Marshall

Trade
29%
Yes 29¢No 97¢
26¢
$18
$20
0%
0%
N/A
2w 6d
active
Total markets: 25 of 88

Description

This group of markets tracks whether specific acts will advance from the quarterfinals to the semifinals or finals in America's Got Talent Season 21, based on official declarations during the quarterfinals broadcast.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental mismatch in resolution criteria: Polymarket resolves based on advancement from quarterfinals; Kalshi resolves only on season winner declarationHero tip: Do not treat these markets as interchangeable. Polymarket markets resolve based on quarterly advancement, while Kalshi markets only resolve when a contestant wins the entire season. Focus on Polymarket for quarterfinals advancement predictions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Yes if the act advances to Semifinals or Finals during the Quarterfinals, including Golden Buzzer advancements. Resolves to No if not declared to advance by end of Quarterfinals or by September 16, 2026.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes only if the act is officially declared the winner of America's Got Talent Season 21. No resolution occurs until a season winner is declared.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21 begins live Quarterfinals on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed act advances to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals thereof. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An act will be considered to advance upon official declaration on the show's broadcast. Retractions, withdrawals, and disqualifications made after a qualifying announcement will not be considered. An act's eventual participation or non-participation in the Semifinals or Finals will not be considered. An act sent directly to the Final by a Golden Buzzer will count as advancing. If the listed act is not declared to advance by the end of the Quarterfinals, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the listed act has not been declared to advance, and the Quarterfinals have not finished, by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified contestant is officially declared the winner of America's Got Talent Season 21. The winner must be announced in the finale or via official channels immediately after. If multiple joint winners are declared, each resolves to Yes with split payouts. If no winner is declared, all markets resolve to No. Winners who decline the award still count unless acceptance is a condition of victory. Disqualifications or withdrawals before the finale result in a No resolution, and later title stripping does not affect the outcome. Fan favorite or secondary awards do not count as winning. For team competitions, being part of the winning unit counts. The original finale announcement governs the resolution regardless of subsequent changes.