TOTAL VOLUME:
$150.1b
24H VOL:
$141,844,315
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,859,322,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,733,993,399
484,032
Markets across
35,818
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,360
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
$
These markets track whether the final settlement price of a specific aluminum futures contract will meet or exceed various price thresholds. The outcomes depend on official published data from a major commodities exchange for a set contract month.
All markets share a common underlying reference: the official final settlement price of the CME Aluminum MW U.S. Transaction Premium Platts (25MT) futures (AUP) for the November 2026 contract, as published by CME Group. Each market has a distinct price threshold expressed in U.S. cents per pound (ranging from 70¢ to 110¢). A market resolves to Yes only if the final settlement price meets or exceeds its specific threshold at the official close of the November 2026 contract. Intramonth price touches do not affect resolution. All markets use the exact contract month specified, not continuous or front-month quotes. Prices are converted from U.S. dollars-per-pound to cents-per-pound by multiplying by 100 with no additional rounding. Corrections, delayed publication, and fallback procedures adhere to standard commodities contract terms, including any applicable 24-hour correction provisions. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with CME Group, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.