TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$131,483,547

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,200,781,395

338,101

Markets across

34,156

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,657

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Politics
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
polymarket

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Jul 27, 2026, 11:20 PM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$944,297
Volume 24h:
$854,809
4,970%
Liquidity:
$153,657
62%
Open interest:
$362,182N/A

August 27

 - Polymarket

August 27 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Time left: 08h:26m:43s

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 27, 2026?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.7¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.3% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

August 27

Trade
98%
7%
Yes 99.7¢No 3.2¢
2.9¢
$6,632
$7,103
61%
132%
N/A
8h 26m
disputed
polymarket

August 28

90%
Yes 90¢No 11¢
$5,883
$8,005
70%
163%
N/A
1d 8h 26m
active
polymarket

August 31

89%
2%
Yes 90¢No 13¢
$6,685
$4,269
8%
26%
N/A
4d 8h 26m
active
polymarket

August 29

88%
Yes 89¢No 13¢
$5,380
$6,817
12%
41%
N/A
2d 8h 26m
active
polymarket

August 30

86%
Yes 88¢No 16¢
$6,512
$3,545
7%
254%
N/A
3d 8h 26m
active
polymarket

August 23

0%
84%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$122,564
$717,927
5,634%
13,604%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

August 8

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 19¢
19¢
N/A
$3,278
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 13

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$87,209
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 25

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,578
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 26

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,064
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 17

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,918
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 15

100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,650
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 18

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 24

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,490
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 19

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 12

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,011
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 4

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,612
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 20

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,184
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 14

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,173
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 21

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 6

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,384
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 16

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,155
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 3

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

August 9

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,906
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.