TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.8b
24H VOL:
$118,500,677
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,380,975,298
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,212,020,469
340,542
Markets across
35,131
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,465
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
$
This event tracks whether James Comey’s criminal case will be officially dismissed by a court or administrative authority within specified timeframes. A dismissal requires the complete termination of all charges through specific legal mechanisms, excluding partial resolutions or alternative endings like plea bargains. The outcome depends on judicial or prosecutorial actions rather than trial results or settlements.
The event resolves to Yes if the criminal case United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. is fully dismissed by the competent court or administrative body at any point before the specified deadlines of October 1, 2026, or January 1, 2027, whichever occurs first. A valid dismissal must involve the entire case being terminated through prosecutorial action (such as nolle prosequi), court order due to constitutional issues, speedy trial violations, prosecutorial misconduct, insufficient evidence, or a successful motion to dismiss. Partial dismissals, plea bargains, guilty pleas, trial verdicts, settlement agreements, consent decrees, transfers, stays, bankruptcy discharges, alternative dispute resolutions, appeals (unless the appellate court fully dismisses the case), and temporary injunctions do not qualify. The resolution hinges solely on whether the case is entirely and officially terminated through the defined legal pathways before the relevant cutoff date.
If United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. has been dismissed by the court or administrative body with jurisdiction after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A dismissal is defined as: For Criminal Cases: Dismissal of charges by prosecutor (nolle prosequi) Court-ordered dismissal for constitutional violations Dismissal for speedy trial violations Dismissal for prosecutorial misconduct Dismissal for insufficient evidence Dismissal following successful motion to dismiss The following do NOT constitute dismissals: Settlement agreements between parties Plea bargains or guilty pleas in criminal cases Default judgments Summary judgments on the merits Trial verdicts (guilty, not guilty, liable, not liable) Consent decrees or agreed orders Cases transferred to different courts Cases stayed or continued indefinitely Bankruptcy discharge (which is a substantive resolution) Cases resolved through alternative dispute resolution Appeals or remands (unless the appellate court dismisses the case entirely) Temporary restraining orders or preliminary injunctions Administrative closure If only some claims, counts, or defendants are dismissed while the case continues on other matters, this does NOT constitute a dismissal for purposes of this contract. The entire case must be dismissed. Outcome verified from Eastern District of North Carolina.