TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.8b

24H VOL:

$118,500,677

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,212,020,469

340,542

Markets across

35,131

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,465

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Tour
All
Politics
Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
kalshi
limitless

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Total volume:
$10,372
Volume 24h:
$75N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$8,595
0.88%

Before Jan 1, 2027

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 2, 2027

Will United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. have their case dismissed before Jan 1, 2027?

60%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 67¢ buys you 149 shares | Odds: 60% Total Payout: $149 | Net Profit: $49 Multiplier: 1.49x | ROI: 49% | APY: 219% 125 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027

Trade
60%
Yes 67¢No 40¢
N/A
$4,004
0%
28%
$3,594
4mo 5d
active
limitless

Before Jan 1, 2027

N/A
N/A
12.2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
60%
Yes 67¢No 40¢
Avg: 9.6¢Max: 12.2¢
kalshi

Before Oct 1, 2026

20%
1%
Yes 22¢No 81¢
N/A
$6,368
1%
13%
$5,001
4mo 5d
active
limitless

Before Oct 1, 2026

N/A
N/A
6.4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
20%
Yes 22¢No 81¢
Avg: 4.7¢Max: 6.4¢
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks whether James Comey’s criminal case will be officially dismissed by a court or administrative authority within specified timeframes. A dismissal requires the complete termination of all charges through specific legal mechanisms, excluding partial resolutions or alternative endings like plea bargains. The outcome depends on judicial or prosecutorial actions rather than trial results or settlements.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if the criminal case United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. is fully dismissed by the competent court or administrative body at any point before the specified deadlines of October 1, 2026, or January 1, 2027, whichever occurs first. A valid dismissal must involve the entire case being terminated through prosecutorial action (such as nolle prosequi), court order due to constitutional issues, speedy trial violations, prosecutorial misconduct, insufficient evidence, or a successful motion to dismiss. Partial dismissals, plea bargains, guilty pleas, trial verdicts, settlement agreements, consent decrees, transfers, stays, bankruptcy discharges, alternative dispute resolutions, appeals (unless the appellate court fully dismisses the case), and temporary injunctions do not qualify. The resolution hinges solely on whether the case is entirely and officially terminated through the defined legal pathways before the relevant cutoff date.

Limitless

If United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. has been dismissed by the court or administrative body with jurisdiction after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A dismissal is defined as: For Criminal Cases: Dismissal of charges by prosecutor (nolle prosequi) Court-ordered dismissal for constitutional violations Dismissal for speedy trial violations Dismissal for prosecutorial misconduct Dismissal for insufficient evidence Dismissal following successful motion to dismiss The following do NOT constitute dismissals: Settlement agreements between parties Plea bargains or guilty pleas in criminal cases Default judgments Summary judgments on the merits Trial verdicts (guilty, not guilty, liable, not liable) Consent decrees or agreed orders Cases transferred to different courts Cases stayed or continued indefinitely Bankruptcy discharge (which is a substantive resolution) Cases resolved through alternative dispute resolution Appeals or remands (unless the appellate court dismisses the case entirely) Temporary restraining orders or preliminary injunctions Administrative closure If only some claims, counts, or defendants are dismissed while the case continues on other matters, this does NOT constitute a dismissal for purposes of this contract. The entire case must be dismissed. Outcome verified from Eastern District of North Carolina.