TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
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Entertainment
Who will headline Coachella 2027?
kalshi

Who will headline Coachella 2027?

Dec 10, 2025, 3:00 PM EST - Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$451,033
Volume 24h:
$463
93%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$194,825
0.12%

Tame Impala

 - Kalshi

Tame Impala - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

Will Tame Impala be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

86%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 85¢ buys you 118 shares | Odds: 86% Total Payout: $118 | Net Profit: $18 Multiplier: 1.18x | ROI: 18% | APY: 15% 430 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tame Impala

Trade
86%
Yes 85¢No 17¢
2¢
N/A
$13,937
0.21%
7%
$8,119
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Dua Lipa

80%
3%
Yes 83¢No 20¢
3¢
N/A
$32,267
0.02%
3%
$17,891
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

SZA

54%
3%
Yes 54¢No 50¢
4¢
N/A
$16,839
0.06%
6%
$5,689
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Drake

48%
6%
Yes 51¢No 52¢
3¢
N/A
$34,640
0.08%
9%
$13,651
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Fred again..

33%
Yes 34¢No 67¢
1¢
N/A
$53,172
0.12%
3%
$21,237
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Rihanna

17%
Yes 16¢No 90¢
6¢
N/A
$5,112
4%
8%
$2,671
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Madonna

16%
Yes 16¢No 91¢
7¢
N/A
$950
0%
0.01%
$747
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Olivia Rodrigo

13%
Yes 12¢No 90¢
2¢
N/A
$58,875
0%
1%
$22,073
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Don Toliver

12%
Yes 16¢No 88¢
4¢
N/A
$2,649
0%
1%
$2,217
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Billie Eilish

11%
Yes 8¢No 95¢
3¢
N/A
$3,600
0%
0%
$1,855
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Tate McRae

10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
N/A
$5,282
0%
2%
$2,348
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

BTS

10%
Yes 12¢No 92¢
4¢
N/A
$44,116
0%
4%
$19,856
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Lil Baby

10%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$9
0%
0%
$9
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Radiohead

8%
Yes 11¢No 91¢
2¢
N/A
$23,523
0%
0.66%
$12,737
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Miley Cyrus

8%
5%
Yes 12¢No 92¢
4¢
N/A
$18,224
0.2%
4%
$8,739
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

The Marías

7%
Yes 7¢No 97¢
4¢
N/A
$2,933
0.46%
10,842%
$259
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

The Kid LAROI

7%
Yes 6¢No 99¢
5¢
N/A
$285
0%
16%
$285
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Charli xcx

6%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
N/A
$5,950
0%
9%
$3,488
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Kendrick Lamar

6%
Yes 6¢No 99¢
5¢
N/A
$505
0%
0.03%
$256
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Lana Del Rey

6%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$202
0%
0%
$46
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Lil Uzi Vert

6%
Yes 4¢No 100¢
4¢
N/A
$118
0%
0%
$12
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Lady Gaga

6%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$98
0%
0%
$93
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Charlie Puth

6%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$31
0%
0%
$31
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Childish Gambino

6%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$13
0%
0%
$13
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

J Balvin

6%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$11
0%
0%
$6
1y 2mo
active
Total markets: 25 of 116

Description

This event tracks whether any of a curated list of major music artists will serve as a headliner at Coachella 2027, one of the world's largest and most prominent music festivals. The market resolves to Yes if any of the listed artists is confirmed or announced as a headliner for that year's festival. This represents a prediction market on which established musicians may take the festival's top billing.

Kalshi

Resolution occurs upon either official announcement or actual performance. An official announcement through company channels, press releases, or verified media statements that the artist is headlining qualifies for resolution, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs. Alternatively, the artist appearing on stage or in recorded content as a headliner in any official performance or release of the festival satisfies the criterion. Joint headlining arrangements where the artist shares the role are acceptable. Performances qualify even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the headliner role. Rumors, unconfirmed reports, and performances in different roles do not qualify.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Coachella 2027 headliner market tracks the current odds for various artists to headline the festival. You can see the implied probability of each outcome, along with the total volume traded—currently $451,033—and the 24-hour volume, which is $425. This allows you to monitor market sentiment and trading activity related to potential headliners. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how PredictionHero users are forecasting the lineup, offering insights into who is considered most likely to take the stage at Coachella in 2027. It’s a dynamic display of collective prediction.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than many analyst forecasts for the Coachella 2027 headliners. While analysts often rely on artist popularity and tour schedules, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are actively putting capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information that isn’t readily available to the public or considered by traditional analysts. This difference in approach can lead to unique insights into the most likely headliners.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the official Coachella 2027 lineup is announced and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which artist is considered the headliner based on their prominent billing and performance slot at the festival. The resolution will be based on the official announcement made by Coachella organizers, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the outcome. Trading will cease at the resolution time, and contracts will be settled accordingly.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Major artist announcements regarding tour schedules, album releases, or festival appearances would be key catalysts. Unexpected collaborations or changes in artist popularity could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any news regarding Coachella’s overall planning or potential changes to the festival format could influence trader sentiment. Positive or negative media coverage surrounding potential headliners, and even social media trends, could all contribute to movement in this market.