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Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
kalshi

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Jan 30, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Jan 21, 2029, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$2,618,362
Volume 24h:
$241,434
36%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$1,703,733
8%

Scott Jennings

 - Kalshi

Scott Jennings - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 21, 2029

Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

30%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 30¢ buys you 333 shares | Odds: 30% Total Payout: $333 | Net Profit: $233 Multiplier: 3.33x | ROI: 233% | APY: 65% 878 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Scott Jennings

Trade
30%
7%
Yes 30¢No 72¢
2¢
N/A
$544,320
10%
237%
$305,074
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Anna Kelly

Trade
16%
7%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
N/A
$220,194
8%
81%
$111,836
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Margo Martin

Trade
15%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
1¢
N/A
$142,978
17%
941%
$92,003
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Elizabeth Pipko

Trade
7%
1%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
N/A
$120,194
12%
137%
$99,352
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Steven Cheung

Trade
4%
Yes 3¢No 97.3¢
0.3¢
N/A
$99,233
12%
129%
$58,559
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Natalie Harp

Trade
2%
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$219,319
4%
180%
$134,605
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Roma Daravi

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$100,288
115%
542%
$86,521
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Matthew Boyle

Trade
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$40,580
0%
103%
$37,483
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

No new person

Trade
2%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.3¢
0.1¢
N/A
$115,697
4%
82%
$73,673
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Alina Habba

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.4¢
0.2¢
N/A
$269,068
7%
100%
$127,071
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Spencer Pratt

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$82,905
0%
51%
$63,787
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Katie Miller

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$55,050
5%
117%
$49,816
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Tricia McLaughlin

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$51,938
0%
139%
$49,706
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Rachel Campos-Duffy

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$51,627
0%
53%
$35,491
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Lara Trump

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$50,778
2%
33%
$36,801
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Monica Crowley

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$43,716
2%
185%
$34,698
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Erika Kirk

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$29,239
15%
38%
$22,406
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Liz Huston

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$24,544
0%
112%
$21,373
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Ari Fleischer

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$21,891
0%
1,940%
$14,907
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Kush Desai

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$15,501
59%
654%
$14,923
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Jayme Franklin

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$14,389
0%
80%
$10,954
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Laura Loomer

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$13,595
14%
24%
$12,434
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Danielle Alvarez

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$7,920
0%
16%
$6,516
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Taylor Budowich

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$3,446
20%
22%
$2,819
2y 4mo 4w
active
kalshi

Kari Lake

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.6¢
0.5¢
N/A
$92,471
7%
123%
$69,612
2y 4mo 4w
active
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market tracks whether Kari Lake will become the next White House Press Secretary following the current administration. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that someone other than Lake will fill the role—stands at 65.0%, while Sage Steele becoming Press Secretary is at 16.0%. Resolution will be determined by official White House records identifying who first assumes the Press Secretary position after this market's issuance. Watch for any formal White House announcement or swearing-in ceremony that designates the next Press Secretary, expected by the resolution date of January 21, 2029.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of White House Press Secretary, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. If the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets referring to a specific person resolve to No, and the "No new person" outcome resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations rather than traditional polling. While polls measure public opinion on political preferences, prediction markets incorporate insider knowledge, media analysis, and financial incentives to forecast actual outcomes. For Press Secretary succession, market odds often diverge from polls because traders focus on likelihood of appointment rather than voter sentiment. This makes prediction markets a complementary signal to conventional surveys when assessing personnel transition probabilities.

On Kalshi, the event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing whether a new Press Secretary will be appointed. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects 30.0% probability, meaning the market is pricing in a high likelihood of no new appointment or significant continuity. Prices move continuously as new information emerges, allowing traders to enter or exit positions based on their conviction about personnel changes and White House staffing decisions.

The market resolves on Jan 21, 2029, marking the end of the prediction period for Trump's Press Secretary succession. Resolution is determined by whether a new individual assumes the official role of White House Press Secretary between now and that date. The outcome captures actual personnel changes announced and confirmed by official White House sources, providing a definitive answer to whether the position changes hands during this timeframe.

Key catalysts include public statements from Trump about Press Secretary performance or plans, media reports on internal White House dynamics, and any official announcements of personnel transitions. Political controversies, press office missteps, or staffing reshuffles could accelerate market movement. Additionally, broader White House staffing announcements, cabinet confirmations, or shifts in communication strategy may signal imminent changes. Traders monitor news flow closely, as any hint of transition planning typically triggers sharp repricing of successor probabilities.