TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$115,807,555

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,188,566,556

336,771

Markets across

33,711

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,629

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
polymarket

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Nov 14, 2025, 7:27 PM EST - Dec 30, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$33,737,276
Volume 24h:
$561,498
490%
Liquidity:
$2,817,951
27%
Open interest:
$1,247,695N/A

Gadi Eizenkot

 - Polymarket

Gadi Eizenkot - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

51%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 51.5¢ buys you 194 shares | Odds: 51% Total Payout: $194 | Net Profit: $94 Multiplier: 1.94x | ROI: 94% High Projected APY: 584% 125 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Gadi Eizenkot

Trade
51%
3%
Yes 51.5¢No 48.6¢
0.1¢
$104,240
$1,682,322
0.99%
3%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Benjamin Netanyahu

Trade
25%
2%
Yes 26¢No 76¢
2¢
$165,478
$3,389,166
5%
9%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Naftali Bennett

Trade
8%
1%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
1¢
$121,555
$2,987,485
0.6%
2%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Person G

Trade
4%
3%
Yes 5.3¢No 96.7¢
2¢
$118,299
$178,955
273%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Avigdor Lieberman

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 4¢No 96.1¢
0.1¢
$129,688
$2,425,726
1%
3%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Itamar Ben Gvir

Trade
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.6¢
0.3¢
$107,047
$1,527,671
0.58%
1%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Moshe Feiglin

Trade
0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.7¢
0.3¢
$89,737
$1,598,180
0.73%
1%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Yair Golan

Trade
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.7¢
0.2¢
$117,296
$2,295,010
0.46%
0.87%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Amir Ohana

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.7¢
0.1¢
$173,033
$2,494,693
0.46%
0.88%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Yariv Levin

Trade
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$109,458
$1,617,230
3%
4%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Benny Gantz

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$150,354
$2,122,565
0.52%
1%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Gideon Sa’ar

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$159,560
$2,092,623
0.4%
1%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Yossi Cohen

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$184,039
$2,053,348
0.6%
2%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Yoaz Hendel

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$207,434
$1,536,623
0.62%
0.93%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Ayelet Shaked

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$179,176
$1,535,396
0.91%
1%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Nir Barkat

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$246,331
$1,499,118
0.86%
2%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Yair Lapid

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$140,997
$1,482,674
0.84%
5%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Israel Katz

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$155,206
$654,545
2%
3%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
polymarket

Person F

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$159,021
$563,947
5%
11%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
Total markets: 19

Intro

This market tracks which political figure will be formally sworn in as Israel's next Prime Minister following the 2026 parliamentary election. On Polymarket, Gadi Eizenkot leads at 37.4%, with Benjamin Netanyahu close behind at 36.5%. The market will resolve based on official Government of Israel sources confirming who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister. Watch the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, as results will determine which candidate has the strongest path to forming a governing coalition and securing the Prime Minister position.

Polymarket

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the next Israeli Prime Minister on Polymarket. It displays the current probability for each candidate, including the leading outcome at 51.4% chance. The interface shows $33,737,282 in total event volume and $546,862 in 24-hour trading activity, allowing traders to monitor market sentiment and liquidity as the election approaches. Price history charts help users identify trends and shifts in candidate viability over time.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling because traders incorporate broader information—including coalition dynamics, party negotiations, and historical election outcomes. While polls measure voter preference at a snapshot in time, markets reflect real-money bets on actual electoral results. The current market leader at 51.4% may differ from poll frontrunners due to traders' assessments of coalition viability and political feasibility. This difference highlights how markets price in factors beyond raw vote share.

On Polymarket, each candidate is represented as a separate contract with a probability price reflecting market consensus on their likelihood of becoming Prime Minister. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices fluctuate based on trader activity, news events, and shifting political developments. The leading outcome currently trades at 51.4%, with volume concentrated around the most viable candidates. Traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced and sell those they view as overvalued, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism that adjusts as new information emerges.

The market is scheduled to resolve by Dec 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by identifying which candidate officially becomes Prime Minister following the next Israeli election and subsequent government formation. The outcome depends on election results, coalition negotiations, and the formal swearing-in of the new Prime Minister. Markets track these developments closely as they unfold, with prices adjusting as coalition possibilities narrow or expand based on post-election political dynamics.

Major catalysts include election date announcements, campaign developments, polling shifts, and coalition negotiations. Security incidents, economic announcements, or diplomatic events can reshape voter preferences and trader expectations. Party mergers or leadership changes within political blocs may alter coalition math and candidate viability. International developments affecting Israeli politics, corruption investigations, or court rulings could shift market odds significantly. As the election date approaches, early voting results and exit polls will drive sharp price movements, with final coalition negotiations determining the ultimate outcome.