TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$131,483,547

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,200,781,395

338,101

Markets across

34,156

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,657

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Will Silver Lake acquire Workday this year?
opinion
predict
kalshi

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Total volume:
$585,775,086
Volume 24h:
$446,203
94%
Liquidity:
$1,477,466
9%
Open interest:
$600
0%

Silver Lake

 - Kalshi

Silver Lake - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Silver Lake announce acquisition of Workday before Jan 1, 2027?

75%chance
Amount

$

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Silver Lake

Trade
75%
Yes 78¢No 28¢
N/A
$681
0%
8%
$600
4mo 6d
active
opinion

Viking Therapeutics

58%
Yes 49.9¢No 82.2¢
32.1¢
N/A
$2,189,500
0%
0.05%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
predict

Viking Therapeutics

20%
Yes 20¢No 80.1¢
0.1¢
$33,458
$7,102
0%
0.13%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
39%
Yes 35¢No 81.2¢
Avg: 16.1¢Max: 32.1¢
opinion

Snapchat

48%
Yes 21.9¢No 95¢
16.9¢
N/A
$68,527
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
predict

Snapchat

13%
Yes 12.6¢No 87.5¢
0.1¢
$33,516
$36,641
0%
2%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
30.5%
Yes 17.3¢No 91.3¢
Avg: 8.5¢Max: 16.9¢
opinion

Ubisoft

43%
31%
Yes 43.6¢No 88.4¢
32¢
N/A
$3,329,408
0.11%
0.7%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
predict

Ubisoft

8%
Yes No 92.1¢
0.1¢
$30,908
$21,528
1%
7%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
25.5%
Yes 25.8¢No 90.3¢
Avg: 16.1¢Max: 32¢
predict

PayPal

32%
8%
Yes 42¢No 78.3¢
20.3¢
$31,042
$34,951
0.1%
16%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
predict

MGM Resorts

31%
1%
Yes 33¢No 71.1¢
4.1¢
$32,678
$35,289
0.18%
6%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
opinion

Lovable

18%
Yes 24.6¢No 99.6¢
24.2¢
N/A
$494,344
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
predict

Lovable

15%
Yes 15.3¢No 84.8¢
0.1¢
$31,420
$17,282
0.12%
0.55%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
16.5%
Yes 20¢No 92.2¢
Avg: 12.2¢Max: 24.2¢
predict

Perplexity AI

17%
Yes 16.9¢No 84¢
0.9¢
$31,103
$4,813
16%
272%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
opinion

Perplexity AI

6%
Yes 25.9¢No 94.3¢
20.2¢
N/A
$3,177,316
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
11.5%
Yes 21.4¢No 89.1¢
Avg: 10.6¢Max: 20.2¢
predict

Brown-Forman

14%
Yes 14.8¢No 86¢
0.8¢
$32,644
$18,667
0%
8%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
opinion

Nebius Group

12%
Yes 15¢No 99.7¢
14.7¢
N/A
$543,187
0%
0.02%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
predict

Nebius Group

4%
Yes 4.4¢No 95.7¢
0.1¢
$193,339
$51,021
0%
0.08%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
8%
Yes 9.7¢No 97.7¢
Avg: 7.4¢Max: 14.7¢
opinion

GitLab

8%
Yes 33.8¢No 95¢
28.8¢
N/A
$1,162,869
0%
0.02%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
predict

GitLab

8%
Yes 8.3¢No 92.3¢
0.6¢
$42,794
$89,062
0%
3%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
8%
Yes 21.1¢No 93.7¢
Avg: 14.7¢Max: 28.8¢
predict

Zoom Video Communications

6%
Yes 6.1¢No 94.9¢
$49,118
$21,018
0.73%
0.84%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
opinion

OpenAI

5%
Yes 19.9¢No 95¢
14.9¢
N/A
$1,104,960
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
predict

OpenAI

3%
Yes 3.2¢No 97.1¢
0.3¢
$320,998
$36,667
1%
16%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
4%
Yes 11.6¢No 96.1¢
Avg: 7.6¢Max: 14.9¢
predict

BP

3%
Yes 3.2¢No 97.2¢
0.4¢
$293,863
$24,587
0%
6%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
predict

Anthropic

3%
1%
Yes 3.2¢No 97.9¢
1.1¢
$320,585
$89,465
0.88%
2%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
opinion

Anthropic

0%
Yes 45.9¢No 99.8¢
45.7¢
N/A
$572,079,848
0.08%
5%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
1.5%
Yes 24.6¢No 98.9¢
Avg: 23.4¢Max: 45.7¢
opinion

Pizza Hut

100%
Yes 100¢No
N/A
$1,136,355
N/A
N/A
N/A
4mo 5d
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This event group centers around the question of whether private equity firm Silver Lake will acquire enterprise software company Workday within the current calendar year. The markets span multiple prediction platforms, each with slightly different framing but fundamentally tracking the same corporate transaction outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms require a formal acquisition agreement announcement between Silver Lake and Workday before January 1, 2027 to resolve 'Yes', with no completion requirementPrimary resolution logic: Official announcements from Silver Lake or Workday, supported by consensus from major financial news outlets (Bloomberg, Reuters, CNBC)

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves 'Yes' upon any credible report of executed acquisition agreement between Silver Lake and Workday
  • Announcement date must occur before January 1, 2027 (12:00 AM ET)
  • Ultimate completion of the acquisition is NOT required for resolution
Timing: Resolution occurs within 24 hours of credible acquisition agreement announcement, or December 31, 2026 if no announcement occursOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If Silver Lake announces an agreement to acquire Workday before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Opinion

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.